Friday, December 20, 2013

Washington Huskies Under Sarkisian

Steve Sarkisian has recently left as head football coach at the University of Washington for USC.  So given head football coach Sarkisian's departure, let's take a look at the Washington Huskies football program during Sarkisian's tenure using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.  Below is a char of the Huskies during Sarkisian's tenure (2009 to his last week for the  2013 season) at Washington.  As you can see from the chart below, Sarkisian inherited one of the worst team's in all of the Football Bowl Subdivision in the 2008 season under the previous head football coach, and has shown substantial improvement over the five years at Washington. 



2013
Washington finished the regular season at 8-4.  The Huskies played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS).  Washington's best game (win over highest ranked team at the time) was a 38-6 victory over #29 ranked Boise State at the beginning of the season and their worst game (loss to lowest ranked team) was a 31-41 loss to #30 UCLA.  Washington was 0-2 against teams ranked in the Top 25.  Washington was the #13 ranked team in terms of total production, with the #16 ranked offense and the #20 ranked defense at the time of his departure to USC.

2012
Washington finished the regular season like the 2011 season at 7-5 and again lost their bowl game to #10 Boise Stat to finish at 7-6.  Washington was the #59 ranked team in total production with the #79 ranked offense and the #31 ranked defense.  The Huskies best game was a win over #28 Stanford and their worst game was a loss to in state rival #113 Washington State.

2011
Washington finished the regular season at 7-5 and lost a track meet to #26 Baylor to finish overall at 7-6.  Washington played against an "average" SOS and finished as the #69 ranked team in total production.  They also substantially improved their offense to finish as the #28 team in the Football Bowl Subdivision, but were below average on the defensive side of the ball, with the #95 ranked defense.  Washington's best game was a victory over #48 Utah and their worst game was a loss to #94 Oregon State.

2010
Washington finished the regular season at 6-6 and were bowl eligible, defeating the #16 ranked University of Nebraska Huskers in the Holiday Bowl to finish at 7-6.  Washington's best game was that win over Nebraska and their worst game was a loss to #67 BYU at the beginning of the season.  Washington finished slightly down from the 2009 season at #87 ranked team in total production, and the #83 ranked offense and the #82 ranked defense.

2009
In Sarkisian's first season as head football coach, the Washington Huskies finished the regular season at 5-7 and out of bowl contention.  Washington played against a "tougher" SOS than the "league" as a whole.  The Huskies best game of the season was a 16-13 victory over #31 ranked USC and their worst game was a 23-24 loss to #64 ranked UCLA.  Taking a look at the Huskies relative production, they finished as the #75 ranked team in overall production.  On the offensive side of the ball, the Huskies had the #83 ranked offense and they had the #60 ranked defense.  This was a below average team that was a substantial improvement from the 2008 season.

2008
To be clear, this was the Washington Huskies production (or lack of production) in the season before Sarkisian arrived at Washington.  In terms of overall production, the Huskies were the #117 ranked team (or #4 from the bottom), with the worst offense in all of the Football Bowl Subdivision at #120 and the #115 defense (or #6 from the bottom).  This was one of the worst teams in all of the NCAA FBS.

Analysis of 2013 NCAA FBS Head Coach Changes
Wake Forest and Jim Grobe
Wyoming and Dave Christensen
Eastern Michigan and Ron English
Florida Atlantic and Carl Pelini
Miami of Ohio and Don Treadwell
UConn and Paul Pasqualoni
USC and Lane Kiffen

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