To do this, we looked at how to rank NCAA FBS teams using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Function Model. In class we went through all the gory details of how to calculate and judge the significance of the model - which I will skip in this blog post.
After estimating the offense and defensive production of each team from 2008 to 2013 and calculating the rank of total team productivity, we calculated the average end of season rank for all the teams in college football. For simplicity, we just used the team's conference membership in 2013.
What the Honors Primetime students found is that Spurrier is correct, but not complete. By that Spurrier's statement is true for all of the ten conferences in college football over the last six seasons plus the independent schools.
First we calculated the average rank of the East Carolina Pirates, which was 60.33 - or about the middle of the league. Then we calculated the average rank for all the teams and found that each conference has at least one team with an average rank below the East Carolina Pirates during this time period.
Below is the average rank of the teams in each conference. We have left the team names off of the table. The numbers in red are the average rank of the teams that are below East Carolina. (Note that the higher number ranking means less productive team).
|ACC||Big 12||AAC||Big 10||CUSA||IND||MidAmerican||MountainWest||PAC 12||SEC||SunBelt|