Wednesday, November 30, 2016

Mark Helfrich Out at Oregon

On Tuesday the University of Oregon terminated the contract with head football coach Mark Helfrich. Thus, it is a good time to take a look at the football program under Helfrich's tenure.

Below is a chart of offense, defense and total production of the University of Oregon Ducks football program during Helfrich's tenure as head football coach, along with who would be the lowest ranked team during this time period (in purple) and the average team (sky blue).   As you may notice, Oregon has had some great seasons and some not so great seasons under Helfrich's tenure. All rankings in this blog come from my Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.  More details about the program under Helfrich are after the chart below, including his contract linked below.  For comparison purposes, here is Chip Kelly's contract at Oregon.



Mark Helfrich (2013 - 2016)

2013
The Ducks finished the regular season at 10-2 and were bowl eligible,winning their bowl game to #64 ranked Texas 30-7.  This season the Ducks played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS.  The Ducks' best regular season game was a (45-24) victory over #12 Washington, their worst regular season loss was to #42 ranked Arizona (16-42).  Overall, Oregon had the #3 ranked team with the #4 ranked offense and the #10 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.  This was a really good team.

2014
 

The Ducks finished the regular season at 12-1 and were bowl eligible,winning their first College Football Playoff bowl game to #43 ranked Florida State by a score of (59-20), but losing the first ever College Football Playoff championship game to #4 ranked Ohio State to finish 13-2 overall. This season Oregon played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS.  The Ducks' best regular season game was a victory (46-27) over #3 Michigan State, their worst regular season loss was again to #46 ranked Arizona (24-31).  Overall, the Ducks' had the #2 ranked team with the #1 ranked offense (yes the best offense in all of the FBS) and the #85 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.  This was Helfrich's best team during this time period in terms of overall productivity.

2015 

Oregon finished the regular season overall at 9-3 and were bowl eligible, losing their bowl game to #31 ranked TCU by a score of (41-47) to finish overall at 9-4, while playing against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS.  The Ducks' best game was their victory over #12 ranked Stanford (38-36) and their worst loss (38-45) was to #55 Washington State.  Oregon had the #54 ranked team in total production with the #13 ranked offense and the #115 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2016 

At the end of the regular season the Ducks' were 4-8 (and bowl ineligible) playing against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, which means that their current strength of schedule was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league's" average SOS.  The Ducks' best win was over currently ranked #45 Utah (30-28) and their worst loss (49-52) was to currently ranked #107 California.  Oregon at the time of Helfrich's departure had the #103 ranked team in total production with the #33 ranked offense and the #127 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.  Yes their defense is currently second to last in all of college football.

2016 NCAA Head Football Head Coaching Changes
Texas and Charlie Strong
Georgia State and Trent Miles
Fresno State and Tim DeRuyter
Purdue and Darrell Hazell
LSU and Les Miles
Florida International University and Ron Turner 

Tuesday, November 29, 2016

Charlie Strong Out at Texas

Charlie Strong has been fired as the head football coach at the University of Texas.  Now that Texas has changed their head football coach, here is a look at the football program under Strong's tenure.

Below is a chart of offense, defense and total production of the University of Texas Longhorns football program during Strong's tenure as head football coach, along with who would be the lowest ranked team during this time period (in purple) and the average team (sky blue).   As you may notice, Texas has been below average under Strong's tenure. All rankings in this blog come from my Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.  More details about the program under Strong are after the chart below, including his contract linked below.


Charlie Strong (2014 - 2016*)

2014 
The Longhorns finished the regular season at 6-6 and were bowl eligible, losing their bowl game to #22 ranked Arkansas 7-31. This season the Longhorns played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS.  The Longhorn's best regular season game was a victory (33-16) over #67 West Virginia, their worst regular season loss was to #44 ranked UCLA (17-20).  Overall, the Longhorns had the #71 ranked team with the #97 ranked offense and the #31 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2015 

Texas finished the regular season overall at 5-7 and were bowl ineligible, while playing against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS.  The Longhorn's best game was a victory (24-17) was over #2 ranked Oklahoma and their worst loss (0-24) was to #106 Iowa State.  Texas had the #83 ranked team in total production with the #60 ranked offense and the #85 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2016 

At the end of the regular season the Longhorn's were 5-7 playing against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, which means that their current strength of schedule is within one to two standard deviations above the "league's" average SOS.  The Longhorn's best win was over currently ranked #58 Baylor (35-34) and their worst loss (21-24) was to currently ranked #125 Kansas.  Texas at the time of Strong's departure had the #76 ranked team in total production with the #51 ranked offense and the #93 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2016 NCAA Head Football Head Coaching Changes
Georgia State and Trent Miles
Fresno State and Tim DeRuyter
Purdue and Darrell Hazell
LSU and Les Miles
Florida International University and Ron Turner

Monday, November 28, 2016

2016 NCAA FBS Top 25 Ranking for Week 13

Below is the list of the Top 25 teams using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided at www.cfbstats.com.  According to the Complex Invasion College Football production model The University of Alabama Crimson Tide is again the number one team in terms of the most productive team in the FBS!  Links to the previous weeks rankings at the bottom.

Rank Team
1 Alabama
2 Washington
3 Ohio State
4 Michigan
5 Clemson
6 Western Michigan
7 Louisville
8 LSU
9 Colorado
10 Western Kentucky
11 San Diego State
12 Auburn
13 Temple
14 Miami (Florida)
15 Penn State
16 Appalachian State
17 Boise State
18 Wisconsin
19 Toledo
20 Old Dominion
21 South Florida
22 Troy
23 Oklahoma
24 Oklahoma State
25 Houston

Previous 2016 Top 25 Rankings
2016 Top 25 for Week #12
2016 Top 25 for Week #11
2016 Top 25 for Week #10
2016 Top 25 for Week #9
2016 Top 25 for Week #8
2016 Top 25 for Week #7
2016 Top 25 for Week #6
2016 Top 25 for Week #5
2016 Top 25 for Week #4
2016 Top 25 for Week #3
2016 Top 25 for Week #2

Monday, November 21, 2016

2016 NCAA FBS Top 25 Ranking for Week 12

Below is the list of the Top 25 teams using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided at www.cfbstats.com.  According to the Complex Invasion College Football production model The University of Alabama Crimson Tide is now the number one team in terms of the most productive team in the FBS!  Links to the previous weeks rankings at the bottom.
 
Rank Team
1 Alabama
2 Ohio State
3 Washington
4 Nebraska
5 Troy
6 Michigan
7 Navy
8 Arkansas State
9 Georgia Tech
10 Louisville
11 Western Michigan
12 Auburn
13 Clemson
14 San Diego State
15 Miami (Florida)
16 Colorado
17 Louisiana Tech
18 South Florida
19 LSU
20 Western Kentucky
21 Boise State
22 Wake Forest
23 Toledo
24 Texas A&M
25 Appalachian State

Previous 2016 Top 25 Rankings
2016 Top 25 for Week #11
2016 Top 25 for Week #10
2016 Top 25 for Week #9
2016 Top 25 for Week #8
2016 Top 25 for Week #7
2016 Top 25 for Week #6
2016 Top 25 for Week #5
2016 Top 25 for Week #4
2016 Top 25 for Week #3
2016 Top 25 for Week #2

Tuesday, November 15, 2016

Trent Miles is Fired from Georgia State

Trent Miles was relieved of his coaching duties after last weekend.  Miles finishes at 9-38 at the helm of the Panthers football program after being hired at the end of 2012 for the 2013 season.

Below is a chart of offense, defense and total production of the Georgia State Panthers football program during Miles's tenure as head football coach, along with who would be the lowest ranked team during this time period (in purple) and the average team (sky blue).   As you may notice, Georgia State has actually been progressing upward over coach Miles' tenure. All rankings in this blog come from my Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.  More details about the program under Miles' are after the chart below, including his contract linked below.


Trent Miles (2013 - 2016*)

2013
In Miles' first season as head football coach Georgia State finished the regular season at 0-12, playing against an "easier" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that Georgia State was within one to two standard deviation's above the "league's" average SOS.  Their worst regular season losses all came against FCS schools:  Chattanooga (14-42), Jacksonville State (26-32) and Samford (21-31).  Overall, Georgia State had the #118 ranked team with the #117 ranked offense and the #110 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2014 
The Panthers finished the regular season at 1-11 and were again bowl ineligible. This season the Panthers played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS.  This season the Panthers best (and only) regular season game was a victory (38-37) over FCS Abilene Christian, their worst regular season loss was to #117 ranked New Mexico State (31-34).  Overall, the Panthers had the #126 ranked team with the #106 ranked offense and the #126 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2015 

Georgia State finished the regular season overall at 6-6 and became bowl eligible, losing their bowl game to #60 ranked San Jose State (16-27), while playing against an "easier" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS.  The Panthers best game was a victory (34-7) was over #25 ranked Georgia Southern and their worst loss (33-41) was to FCS Liberty.  Georgia State had the #53 ranked team in total production with the #51 ranked offense and the #64 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2016 

At the time of head football coach's Trent Miles departure, the Panthers were 2-8 playing against an "easier" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, which means that their current strength of schedule is within one to two standard deviations above the "league's" average SOS.  To date, Georgia State's best win was over #119 ranked Texas State (41-21) and their worst loss (23-37) was to currently ranked #127 Louisiana-Monroe.  Georgia State at the time of Miles departure had the #70 ranked team in total production with the #117 ranked offense and the #25 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2016 NCAA Head Football Head Coaching Changes
Tim DeRuyter and Fresno State
Purdue and Darrell Hazell
LSU and Les Miles
Florida International University and Ron Turner

Monday, November 14, 2016

2016 NCAA FBS Top 25 Ranking for Week 11

Below is the list of the Top 25 teams using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided at www.cfbstats.com.  According to the Complex Invasion College Football production model The Ohio State University Buckeyes are now the number one team in terms of the most productive team in the FBS!  Links to the previous weeks rankings at the bottom.

Rank Team
1 Ohio State
2 Michigan
3 San Diego State
4 Western Michigan
5 Auburn
6 Western Kentucky
7 Boise State
8 Louisiana Tech
9 Miami (Florida)
10 Washington State
11 Colorado
12 South Florida
13 LSU
14 Texas A&M
15 Oklahoma State
16 Old Dominion
17 Oklahoma
18 Toledo
19 Washington
20 West Virginia
21 Alabama
22 Appalachian State
23 Minnesota
24 Penn State
25 Louisville

Previous 2016 Top 25 Rankings
2016 Top 25 for Week #10
2016 Top 25 for Week #9
2016 Top 25 for Week #8
2016 Top 25 for Week #7
2016 Top 25 for Week #6
2016 Top 25 for Week #5
2016 Top 25 for Week #4
2016 Top 25 for Week #3
2016 Top 25 for Week #2

Monday, November 7, 2016

2016 NCAA FBS Top 25 Ranking for Week 10

Below is the list of the Top 25 teams using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided at www.cfbstats.com.  According to the Complex Invasion College Football production model the University of Michigan Wolverines are still the number one ranked team in terms of the most productive team in the FBS!  Links to the previous weeks rankings at the bottom.

Rank Team
1 Michigan
2 Washington
3 Ohio State
4 Alabama
5 Louisville
6 Western Michigan
7 Clemson
8 San Diego State
9 Auburn
10 Colorado
11 Toledo
12 LSU
13 Troy
14 Washington State
15 Louisiana Tech
16 Minnesota
17 Boise State
18 Miami (Florida)
19 Houston
20 Appalachian State
21 South Florida
22 Baylor
23 Temple
24 Western Kentucky
25 Texas A&M

Previous 2016 Top 25 Rankings
2016 Top 25 for Week #9
2016 Top 25 for Week #8
2016 Top 25 for Week #7
2016 Top 25 for Week #6
2016 Top 25 for Week #5
2016 Top 25 for Week #4
2016 Top 25 for Week #3
2016 Top 25 for Week #2