Monday, December 12, 2016

2016 NCAA FBS Top 25 Ranking for Week 15

Below is the list of the Top 25 teams using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided at www.cfbstats.com.  According to the Complex Invasion College Football production model The University of Alabama Crimson Tide is again the number one team in terms of the most productive team in the FBS!  Links to the previous weeks rankings at the bottom.

Rank Team
1 Alabama
2 Washington
3 Ohio State
4 Michigan
5 Western Michigan
6 Clemson
7 Louisville
8 Temple
9 Auburn
10 San Diego State
11 LSU
12 Western Kentucky
13 Colorado
14 Penn State
15 Miami (Florida)
16 Boise State
17 Oklahoma
18 Appalachian State
19 Wisconsin
20 Toledo
21 Houston
22 Army
23 Florida State
24 Louisiana Tech
25 South Florida

Previous 2016 Top 25 Rankings
2016 Top 25 for Week #14
2016 Top 25 for Week #13
2016 Top 25 for Week #12
2016 Top 25 for Week #11
2016 Top 25 for Week #10
2016 Top 25 for Week #9
2016 Top 25 for Week #8
2016 Top 25 for Week #7
2016 Top 25 for Week #6
2016 Top 25 for Week #5
2016 Top 25 for Week #4
2016 Top 25 for Week #3
2016 Top 25 for Week #2

Saturday, December 10, 2016

Tommy Tuberville Resigns as Head Football Coach at Cincinnati

Tommy Tuberville has recently resigned as head football coach, so let's take a look at the Cincinnati Bearcats during his tenure as head football coach for Cincinnati.

Below is a chart of offense, defense and total production of the Cincinnati Bearcats football program during Tuberville's tenure as head football coach, along with who would be the lowest ranked team during this time period (in purple) and the average team (sky blue).   As you may notice, Cincinnati has been trending downward over the last few years under Tuberville's tenure. All rankings in this blog come from my Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.  More details about the program under Tuberville are after the chart below, including his original contract (and recent contract amendment) are linked below.


Tommy Tuberville (2013 - 2016) [2016 contract amendment]

2013
At the end of the regular season the Bearcats were 9-3 (bowl eligible) losing their post-season bowl game to #41 ranked North Carolina by a score of (17-39) to finish 9-4 overall, while playing against an "easier" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that their strength of schedule was one standard deviation higher than the "league's" average SOS.  The Bearcats best win was over #22 ranked Houston (24-17) and their worst loss was to #111 ranked South Florida by a score of (20-26).  Cincinnati had the #25 ranked team in total production with the #29 ranked offense and the #31 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2014 
The Bearcats again finished the regular season at 9-3 and were bowl eligible and again lost their post-season bowl game, this time to #56 ranked Virginia Tech by a score of (17-33).  Cincinnati played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS.  The Bearcats best regular season game was a victory (54-46) over #14 East Carolina and their worst loss was to #30 ranked Miami (FL) (34-55).  Overall, the Bearcats had the #29 ranked team with the #16 ranked offense and the #79 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2015 

Cincinnati finished the regular season overall at 7-5 (bowl eligible) and were defeated by #4 ranked San Diego State in their post-season bowl game by a score of (7-42) to finish the season at 7-6.  Cincinnati played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS.  The Bearcats best game again was their victory over #59 ranked East Carolina (19-16) and their worst loss was to #47 ranked Temple (26-34).  Cincinnati had the #72 ranked team in total production with the #45 ranked offense and the #94 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2016 

At the end of the regular season the Bearcats were 4-8 (and were bowl ineligible) playing against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, which means that their current strength of schedule was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league's" average SOS.  The Bearcats best win was over currently ranked #53 Miami (OH) (27-20) and their worst loss was to currently ranked #112 Connecticut by a score of (9-20).  Cincinnati at the time of Tuberville's resignation had the #95 ranked team in total production with the #120 ranked offense and the #59 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.
 
2016 NCAA Head Football Head Coaching Changes 
Texas and Charlie Strong
Georgia State and Trent Miles
Fresno State and Tim DeRuyter
Purdue and Darrell Hazell>
LSU and Les Miles
Florida International University and Ron Turner
Baylor and Art Briles

Tuesday, December 6, 2016

Kevin Wilson Resigns at Indiana

Kevin Wilson resigned as the head football coach at Indiana University recently.

Below is a chart of offense, defense and total production of the Indiana University Hoosiers football program during Wilson's tenure as head football coach, along with who would be the lowest ranked team during this time period (in purple) and the average team (sky blue).   As you may notice, Indiana has been below average under Wilson's tenure. All rankings in this blog come from my Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.  More details about the program under Wilson are after the chart below, including his original contract are linked below.  For comparison purposes, here is Bill Lynch's contract as head football coach at Indiana.


Kevin Wilson (2011 - 2016)

2011
At the end of Wilson's first season as head football coach the Hoosiers finished the regular season at 1-11 and were bowl ineligible playing against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS.  The Hoosiers only regular season victory was over FCS South Carolina State, their worst loss was to #108 ranked Ball State (20-27).  Overall, Indiana had the #107 ranked team with the #97 ranked offense and the #107 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2012

Indiana finished the regular season overall at 4-8 and were again bowl ineligible while playing against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS.  The Hoosiers best game was their victory over #82 ranked Iowa (24-21) and their worst loss (39-41) was again to #76 ranked Ball State.  Indiana had the #103 ranked team in total production with the #78 ranked offense and the #111 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2013

At the end of the regular season the Hoosiers were 5-7 (and bowl ineligible) playing against a "tougher" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, which means that their current strength of schedule was one standard deviation below the "league's" average SOS.  The Hoosiers best win was over #17 ranked Bowling Green (42-10) and their worst loss was to #71 ranked Minnesota by a score of (39-42).  Indiana had the #77 ranked team in total production with the #27 ranked offense and the #119 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2014 
The Hoosiers finished the regular season at 4-8 and were bowl ineligible playing against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS.  The Hoosiers best regular season game was a victory (31-27) over #27 Missouri, their worst loss was to #89 ranked Bowling Green (31-37).  Overall, the Hoosiers had the #94 ranked team with the #88 ranked offense and the #888 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2015 

Indiana finished the regular season overall at 6-6 and becoming bowl eligible, and were defeated by #75 ranked Duke in their post-season bowl game.  Indiana played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS.  The Hoosiers best game was their victory over #14 ranked Western Kentucky (38-35) and their worst loss was to #102 ranked Rutgers.  Indiana had the #92 ranked team in total production with the #32 ranked offense and the #121 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2016 

Wilson received a contract extension after the 2015 season, but was unable to make it through one full season at Indiana.  At the end of the regular season the Hoosiers were 6-6 (and for the second year in a row were bowl eligible) playing against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, which means that their current strength of schedule was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league's" average SOS.  The Hoosiers best win was over currently ranked #77 Michigan State (24-21) and their worst loss was to currently ranked #81 Wake Forest by a score of (28-33).  Indiana at the time of Wilson's departure had the #63 ranked team in total production with the #92 ranked offense and the #33 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.
 
2016 NCAA Head Football Head Coaching Changes 
Texas and Charlie Strong
Georgia State and Trent Miles
Fresno State and Tim DeRuyter
Purdue and Darrell Hazell>
LSU and Les Miles
Florida International University and Ron Turner
Baylor and Art Briles 

Monday, December 5, 2016

2016 NCAA FBS Top 25 Ranking for Week 14

Below is the list of the Top 25 teams using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided at www.cfbstats.com.  According to the Complex Invasion College Football production model. The University of Alabama Crimson Tide is again the number one team in terms of the most productive team in the FBS!  Links to the previous weeks rankings at the bottom.

Rank Team
1 Alabama
2 Washington
3 Ohio State
4 Michigan
5 Clemson
6 Western Michigan
7 LSU
8 Auburn
9 Louisville
10 Temple
11 San Diego State
12 Western Kentucky
13 Penn State
14 Colorado
15 Appalachian State
16 Oklahoma
17 Miami (Florida)
18 Boise State
19 Toledo
20 Army
21 Wisconsin
22 Houston
23 Old Dominion
24 USC
25 West Virginia

Previous 2016 Top 25 Rankings
2016 Top 25 for Week #13
2016 Top 25 for Week #12
2016 Top 25 for Week #11
2016 Top 25 for Week #10
2016 Top 25 for Week #9
2016 Top 25 for Week #8
2016 Top 25 for Week #7
2016 Top 25 for Week #6
2016 Top 25 for Week #5
2016 Top 25 for Week #4
2016 Top 25 for Week #3
2016 Top 25 for Week #2

Saturday, December 3, 2016

Brian Polian Out at Nevada

Brian Polian is out as head football coach at the University of Nevada-Reno. During Polian's tenure at Nevada the football team was 23-27 and had two post-season bowl appearances.  Here a look at the Wolfpack under Polian's tenure as head football coach.

Below is a chart of offense, defense and total production of the University of Nevada Wolfpack football program during Polain's tenure as head football coach, along with who would be the lowest ranked team during this time period (in purple) and the average team (sky blue).   As you may notice, Nevada has been below average under Polian's tenure. All rankings in this blog come from my Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.  More details about the program under Polian are after the chart below, including his contract linked below.  For comparison purposes, here is Chris Ault's contract.


Brian Polian (2013 - 2016)

2013
In Polian's first season as head football coach the Wolfpack, Nevada finished the regular season at 4-8 and were bowl ineligible, playing against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that FAU's SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation the "league" average SOS.  The Wolfpack best regular season game was a victory (38-16) over #72 San Jose State, their worst loss was to #84 ranked San Diego State (44-51).  Overall, the Wolfpack had the #100 ranked team with the #71 ranked offense and the #111 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2014 
In Polain's second season as head football coach the Wolfpack finished the regular season at 7-5 and were bowl eligible.  They lost their post-season bowl to the #57 ranked Louisiana Lafayette Rajun Cajuns by a score of (3-16). The Wolfpack played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS.  The Wolfpack best regular season game was a (42-35) victory over #21 BYU, their worst loss was to #108 ranked Fresno State (20-40).  Overall, Nevada had the #70 ranked team with the #67 ranked offense and the #87 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2015 

Nevada finished the regular season overall at 6-6 and were bowl eligible defeating #73 ranked Colorado State (28-23) in their post-season bowl game to finish with a winning record of 7-6.   The Wolfpack played against an "easier" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that their SOS was between one and two standard deviations above the "league" average SOS.  The Wolfpack best game was their victory over #60 ranked San Jose State by a score of (37-34) and their worst loss by a score of (21-35) was to #99 Wyoming.  Nevada had the #67 ranked team in total production with the #71 ranked offense and the #61 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2016 

In what ended up as Polian's final season as the head football coach, the Wolfpack were 5-7 (and bowl ineligible) playing against an "much easier" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that Nevada played against a SOS that was greater than two standard deviations higher than the average FBS SOS.  The Wolfpack best win was over currently ranked #73 UNLV (45-10) and their worst loss (14-24) was to currently ranked #126 Purdue.  Nevada had the #98 ranked team in total production with the #90 ranked offense and the #84 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2016 NCAA Head Football Head Coaching Changes
San Jose State and Ron Caragher
Oregon and Mark Helfrich
Texas and Charlie Strong
Georgia State and Trent Miles
Fresno State and Tim DeRuyter
Purdue and Darrell Hazell
LSU and Les Miles
Florida International University and Ron Turner
Baylor and Art Briles

Friday, December 2, 2016

Ron Caragher Out at San Jose State

The San Jose State Spartans have fired head football coach Ron Caragher after four seasons at the helm of the football program.

Below is a chart of offense, defense and total production of the San Jose State University Spartans football program during Caragher's tenure as head football coach, along with who would be the lowest ranked team during this time period (in purple) and the average team (sky blue).   As you may notice, SJSU has been below average under Caragher's tenure. All rankings in this blog come from my Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.  More details about the program under Caragher are after the chart below, including his contract linked below.



Ron Caragher (2013-2016)

2013
In Caragher's first season as head football coach the Spartans, San Jose State finished the regular season at 6-6 and were bowl eligible, but did not receive a bowl bid.  San Jose State played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that FAU's SOS was between one and two standard deviations above the "league" average SOS.  The Spartans best regular season game was a victory (34-27) over #37 Colorado State, their worst loss was to #100 ranked Nevada (16-38).  Overall, the Spartans had the #72 ranked team with the #45 ranked offense and the #103 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2014 
In Caragher's second season as head football coach the Spartans finished the regular season at 3-9 and were bowl ineligible playing against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS.  The Spartans best regular season game was a victory (27-20) over #109 Wyoming, their worst loss was to #112 ranked Hawai'i (0-13).  Overall, the Spartans had the #104 ranked team with the #121 ranked offense and the #39 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2015 

SJSU finished the regular season overall at 6-6 and were bowl eligible, losing to #53 ranked Georgia State (27-16), while playing against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS.  The Spartans best game was their victory over #37 ranked Air Force (37-16) and their worst loss (21-35) was to #120 Oregon State.  San Jose State had the #60 ranked team in total production with the #69 ranked offense and the #51 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2016 

At the end of the regular season the Spartans were 4-8 (and bowl ineligible) playing against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS.  The Spartans best win was over currently ranked #73 UNLV (30-24) and their worst loss (17-34) was to currently ranked #111 Hawai'i.  San Jose State had the #110 ranked team in total production with the #103 ranked offense and the #111 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.
 
2016 NCAA Head Football Head Coaching Changes
Florida Atlantic and Charlie Partridge
Oregon and Mark Helfrich

Thursday, December 1, 2016

Charlie Partridge Out at FAU

Earlier this week Florida Atlantic University dismissed head football coach Charlie Partridge.  Partridge leaves after finishing at 9-27 overall during his three years at the helm of the Owls football program. 

Below is a chart of offense, defense and total production of the Florida Atlantic University Owls football program during Partridge's tenure as head football coach, along with who would be the lowest ranked team during this time period (in purple) and the average team (sky blue).   As you may notice, FAU has been below average under Partridge's tenure. All rankings in this blog come from my Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.  More details about the program under Partridge are after the chart below, including his contract linked below.

 

Charlie Partridge (2014 - 2016)

2014 
At the end of Partridge's first season as head football coach the Owls finished the regular season at 3-9 and were bowl ineligible playing against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS.  The Owls best regular season game was a victory (45-38) over #48 Western Kentucky, their worst loss was to #109 ranked Wyoming (19-20).  Overall, the Owls had the #107 ranked team with the #95 ranked offense and the #108 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2015 

FAU finished the regular season overall at 3-9 and were again bowl ineligible while playing against an "easier" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that FAU's SOS was between one and two standard deviations above the "league" average SOS.  The Owls best game was their victory over #93 ranked Old Dominion (33-31) and their worst loss (17-27) was to #155 UTEP.  Florida Atlantic had the #101 ranked team in total production with the #116 ranked offense and the #63 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2016 

At the end of the regular season the Owls were 3-9 (and bowl ineligible) playing against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, which means that their current strength of schedule was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league's" average SOS.  The Owls best win was over currently ranked #91 UTEP (35-31) and their worst loss (21-27) was to currently ranked #106 Marshall.  Florida Atlantic at the time of Partridge's departure had the #119 ranked team in total production with the #87 ranked offense and the #124 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2016 NCAA Head Football Head Coaching Changes
Oregon and Mark Helfrich