Tuesday, November 15, 2016

Trent Miles is Fired from Georgia State

Trent Miles was relieved of his coaching duties after last weekend.  Miles finishes at 9-38 at the helm of the Panthers football program after being hired at the end of 2012 for the 2013 season.

Below is a chart of offense, defense and total production of the Georgia State Panthers football program during Miles's tenure as head football coach, along with who would be the lowest ranked team during this time period (in purple) and the average team (sky blue).   As you may notice, Georgia State has actually been progressing upward over coach Miles' tenure. All rankings in this blog come from my Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.  More details about the program under Miles' are after the chart below, including his contract linked below.


Trent Miles (2013 - 2016*)

2013
In Miles' first season as head football coach Georgia State finished the regular season at 0-12, playing against an "easier" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that Georgia State was within one to two standard deviation's above the "league's" average SOS.  Their worst regular season losses all came against FCS schools:  Chattanooga (14-42), Jacksonville State (26-32) and Samford (21-31).  Overall, Georgia State had the #118 ranked team with the #117 ranked offense and the #110 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2014 
The Panthers finished the regular season at 1-11 and were again bowl ineligible. This season the Panthers played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS.  This season the Panthers best (and only) regular season game was a victory (38-37) over FCS Abilene Christian, their worst regular season loss was to #117 ranked New Mexico State (31-34).  Overall, the Panthers had the #126 ranked team with the #106 ranked offense and the #126 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2015 

Georgia State finished the regular season overall at 6-6 and became bowl eligible, losing their bowl game to #60 ranked San Jose State (16-27), while playing against an "easier" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS.  The Panthers best game was a victory (34-7) was over #25 ranked Georgia Southern and their worst loss (33-41) was to FCS Liberty.  Georgia State had the #53 ranked team in total production with the #51 ranked offense and the #64 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2016 

At the time of head football coach's Trent Miles departure, the Panthers were 2-8 playing against an "easier" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, which means that their current strength of schedule is within one to two standard deviations above the "league's" average SOS.  To date, Georgia State's best win was over #119 ranked Texas State (41-21) and their worst loss (23-37) was to currently ranked #127 Louisiana-Monroe.  Georgia State at the time of Miles departure had the #70 ranked team in total production with the #117 ranked offense and the #25 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2016 NCAA Head Football Head Coaching Changes
Tim DeRuyter and Fresno State
Purdue and Darrell Hazell
LSU and Les Miles
Florida International University and Ron Turner
Baylor and Art Briles