Friday, December 2, 2016

Ron Caragher Out at San Jose State

The San Jose State Spartans have fired head football coach Ron Caragher after four seasons at the helm of the football program.

Below is a chart of offense, defense and total production of the San Jose State University Spartans football program during Caragher's tenure as head football coach, along with who would be the lowest ranked team during this time period (in purple) and the average team (sky blue).   As you may notice, SJSU has been below average under Caragher's tenure. All rankings in this blog come from my Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.  More details about the program under Caragher are after the chart below, including his contract linked below.



Ron Caragher (2013-2016)

2013
In Caragher's first season as head football coach the Spartans, San Jose State finished the regular season at 6-6 and were bowl eligible, but did not receive a bowl bid.  San Jose State played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that FAU's SOS was between one and two standard deviations above the "league" average SOS.  The Spartans best regular season game was a victory (34-27) over #37 Colorado State, their worst loss was to #100 ranked Nevada (16-38).  Overall, the Spartans had the #72 ranked team with the #45 ranked offense and the #103 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2014 
In Caragher's second season as head football coach the Spartans finished the regular season at 3-9 and were bowl ineligible playing against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS.  The Spartans best regular season game was a victory (27-20) over #109 Wyoming, their worst loss was to #112 ranked Hawai'i (0-13).  Overall, the Spartans had the #104 ranked team with the #121 ranked offense and the #39 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2015 

SJSU finished the regular season overall at 6-6 and were bowl eligible, losing to #53 ranked Georgia State (27-16), while playing against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS.  The Spartans best game was their victory over #37 ranked Air Force (37-16) and their worst loss (21-35) was to #120 Oregon State.  San Jose State had the #60 ranked team in total production with the #69 ranked offense and the #51 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2016 

At the end of the regular season the Spartans were 4-8 (and bowl ineligible) playing against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS.  The Spartans best win was over currently ranked #73 UNLV (30-24) and their worst loss (17-34) was to currently ranked #111 Hawai'i.  San Jose State had the #110 ranked team in total production with the #103 ranked offense and the #111 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.
 
2016 NCAA Head Football Head Coaching Changes
Florida Atlantic and Charlie Partridge
Oregon and Mark Helfrich

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