Tuesday, December 13, 2016

Tom Herman Leaves Houston for Texas

Tom Herman recently left as head football coach at Houston for the head football coaching job at the University of Texas.  While he was only the head football coach at Houston for two seasons, let's take a look at the Houston Cougars during Herman's short tenure.

Below is a chart of offense, defense and total production of the University of Houston Cougars football program during Herman's tenure as head football coach, along with who would be the lowest ranked team during this time period (in purple) and the average team (sky blue).   As you may notice, Houston above average under his tenure. All rankings in this blog come from my Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.  More details about the program under Herman are after the chart below, including his original contract are linked below.


Tom Herman [2015-2016]

2015
Houston finished the regular season overall at 12-1 (bowl eligible) and defeated #16 ranked Florida State in their post-season bowl game by a score of (38-24) to finish the season at 13-1.  Houston played against an "easier" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that their SOS was between one and two standard deviations greater than the average SOS for the "league".  The Cougars best game again was their victory over #5 ranked Navy (52-31) and their only loss was to #80 ranked Connecticut (17-20).  Houston had the #9 ranked team in total production with the #4 ranked offense and the #60 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2016
At the end of the regular season the Cougars were 9-3 (and were bowl eligible) at the time of Herman's departure, while playing against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS.  The Cougars best win was over #7 ranked Louisville (36-10) and their worst loss was to #100 ranked SMU by a score of (16-38).  Houston had the #21 ranked team in total production with the #36 ranked offense and the #23 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

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