Saturday, December 10, 2016

Tommy Tuberville Resigns as Head Football Coach at Cincinnati

Tommy Tuberville has recently resigned as head football coach, so let's take a look at the Cincinnati Bearcats during his tenure as head football coach for Cincinnati.

Below is a chart of offense, defense and total production of the Cincinnati Bearcats football program during Tuberville's tenure as head football coach, along with who would be the lowest ranked team during this time period (in purple) and the average team (sky blue).   As you may notice, Cincinnati has been trending downward over the last few years under Tuberville's tenure. All rankings in this blog come from my Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.  More details about the program under Tuberville are after the chart below, including his original contract (and recent contract amendment) are linked below.


Tommy Tuberville (2013 - 2016) [2016 contract amendment]

2013
At the end of the regular season the Bearcats were 9-3 (bowl eligible) losing their post-season bowl game to #41 ranked North Carolina by a score of (17-39) to finish 9-4 overall, while playing against an "easier" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that their strength of schedule was one standard deviation higher than the "league's" average SOS.  The Bearcats best win was over #22 ranked Houston (24-17) and their worst loss was to #111 ranked South Florida by a score of (20-26).  Cincinnati had the #25 ranked team in total production with the #29 ranked offense and the #31 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2014 
The Bearcats again finished the regular season at 9-3 and were bowl eligible and again lost their post-season bowl game, this time to #56 ranked Virginia Tech by a score of (17-33).  Cincinnati played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS.  The Bearcats best regular season game was a victory (54-46) over #14 East Carolina and their worst loss was to #30 ranked Miami (FL) (34-55).  Overall, the Bearcats had the #29 ranked team with the #16 ranked offense and the #79 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2015 

Cincinnati finished the regular season overall at 7-5 (bowl eligible) and were defeated by #4 ranked San Diego State in their post-season bowl game by a score of (7-42) to finish the season at 7-6.  Cincinnati played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS.  The Bearcats best game again was their victory over #59 ranked East Carolina (19-16) and their worst loss was to #47 ranked Temple (26-34).  Cincinnati had the #72 ranked team in total production with the #45 ranked offense and the #94 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2016 

At the end of the regular season the Bearcats were 4-8 (and were bowl ineligible) playing against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, which means that their current strength of schedule was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league's" average SOS.  The Bearcats best win was over currently ranked #53 Miami (OH) (27-20) and their worst loss was to currently ranked #112 Connecticut by a score of (9-20).  Cincinnati at the time of Tuberville's resignation had the #95 ranked team in total production with the #120 ranked offense and the #59 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.
 
2016 NCAA Head Football Head Coaching Changes 
Texas and Charlie Strong
Georgia State and Trent Miles
Fresno State and Tim DeRuyter
Purdue and Darrell Hazell>
LSU and Les Miles
Florida International University and Ron Turner
Baylor and Art Briles