Tuesday, December 31, 2013

Sun Bowl 2013

The Sun Bowl this year has the UCLA Bruins of the Pac 12 Conference playing the Virginia Tech Hokies of the Atlantic Coast Conference.  Below is an analysis of these two teams using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model, and below that is more detailed analysis.
Sun Bowl 2013

Hokies Bruins
Wins 8 9
Losses 4 3
Total 39 32
Offense 97 33
Defense 5 40
SOS 55.08 61.58
Best 16 12
Worst 72 29


UCLA finished the regular season at 9-3 playing against an "average" strength of schedule.  The Bruins best game was a win over currently ranked #12 Washington and their worst game was a loss to currently ranked #29 Stanford.  On the field, UCLA currently has the #32 most productive team overall with the #33 ranked offense and the #40 ranked defense.

Virginia Tech finished at 8-4 playing a "tougher" strength of schedule. The Hokies best game was a win over currently ranked #16 Marshall and their worst game was a loss to currently ranked #72 Boston College.  On the field, the Hokies currently have the #39 most productive team in the FBS with the #97 ranked offense and the #5 defense.

Given that UCLA is more productive, the model "predicts" that UCLA will be the winner of the Sun Bowl.