Saturday, December 28, 2013

Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl 2013

Today we have the Kansas State Wildcats of the Big 12 Conference (which has 10 teams) playing the Michigan Wolverines of the Big 10 Conference (which has twelve teams).  Below is a table summarizing some of the results of the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model, with more details below the table below.
Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl 2013

Wildcats Wolverines
Wins 7 7
Losses 5 5
Total 31 45
Offense 39 65
Defense 29 23
SOS 71.92 60.92
Best 42 61
Worst 126 60

Kansas State Wildcats finished the regular season at 7-5, playing against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) which means the calculated SOS is within plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league" average.  The Wildcats best game (win over highest ranked team) was to currently ranked #42 Louisiana-Lafayette, and their worst game (loss to lowest ranked team) was to FCS North Dakota State, and I "rank" all FCS schools at #126.

Michigan Wolverines finished the regular season also at 7-5 playing against an "average" SOS.  Michigan's best game was a win over currently ranked #61 Minnesota and their worst game was an overtime loss to currently ranked #60 Penn State.  The Wolverines currently have the #45 ranked team in terms of total production, with currently the #65 ranked offense and the #23 ranked defense.

From the model's perspective, Kansas State is "predicted" to defeat Michigan in this years Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl.