Saturday, December 28, 2013

Russell Athletic Bowl 2013

The Louisville Cardinals of the American Athletic Conference face the Miami (FL) Hurricanes of the Atlantic Coast Conference.  Below is an analysis of these two teams using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model, and below that is more detailed analysis.

Russell Athletic Bowl 2013

Cardinals Hurricanes
Wins 11 9
Losses 1 3
Total 2 41
Offense 13 29
Defense 1 68
SOS 81.25 66.17
Best 21 37
Worst 20 65

The Louisville Cardinal finished the regular season at 11-1 playing against an "easier" strength of schedule than the "league" average.  The Cardinals best game was a victory over currently ranked #21 Cincinnati, and their worst game was against currently ranked #20 University of Central Florida.  Looking at their on-field production, the Cardinals are currently the #2 ranked team in overall production with the currently ranked #13 offense and the currently ranked #1 defense in all of the Football Bowl Subdivision.

The Miami Hurricanes finished the regular season at 9-3 playing against an "average" strength of schedule.   Miami's best game was a 45-30 victory over currently ranked #37 Georgia Tech and their worst game of the season was a 30-48 loss to #65 Duke.  Miami currently has the #41 ranked team in overall production, with the #29 most productive offense and the #68 most productive defense.

Using the CICFPM, the model "predicts" Louisville be the winner in today's Russell Athletic Bowl over Miami.