Monday, December 30, 2013

Alamo Bowl 2013

The Alamo Bowl pits the Oregon Ducks of the Pac 12 against the Texas Longhorns of the Big 12 in head football coach Mack Brown's final game at the helm of the Longhorns.  (Here are more details of the Longhorns under Brown since 2008).  Below is an analysis of these two teams using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model, and below that is more detailed analysis.
Alamo Bowl 2013

Ducks Longhorns
Wins 10 8
Losses 2 4
Total 5 57
Offense 4 67
Defense 22 48
SOS 74.08 65.17
Best 12 30
Worst 56 66

Oregon finished the regular season at10-2 while playing against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS).  The Ducks best game was a win against currently ranked #12 Washington and their worst performance was a loss against currently ranked #56 Arizona.  The Ducks currently have the #5 ranked team in total production with the #4 most productive offense and the #22 ranked defense.

Texas finished the regular season at 8-4 playing against an "average" strength of schedule.  The Longhorns best game was a win in the Red River Rivalry over currently ranked #30 Oklahoma and their worst performance was a loss to currently ranked #66 BYU.  The Longhorn currently have the #57 ranked in total production with the #67 ranked offense and the #48 ranked defense.

Look for Oregon to be the victor in the Alamo Bowl today.