Monday, December 30, 2013

Holiday Bowl 2013

In the Holiday Bowl we have the Arizona State Sun Devils of the Pac 12 Conference playing the Texas Tech Red Raiders of the Big 12 Conference.  Below is an analysis of these two teams using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model, and below that is more detailed analysis.

Holiday Bowl 2013

Sun Devils Red Raiders
Wins 10 7
Losses 3 5
Total 22 71
Offense 19 43
Defense 41 97
SOS 56.92 68.58
Best 8 69
Worst 85 57

Arizona State finished the regular season at 10-3 (including a loss to Stanford in the Pac 12 Conference championship game) while playing against an "average" strength of schedule.  ASU's best game was that controversial finish against currently ranked #8 Wisconsin and their worst game was a defeat to currently ranked #85 Notre Dame. In terms of production, ASU is currently the #22 most productive team in the Football Bowl Subdivision.  They have the #19 ranked offense and the #41 ranked defense.

Texas Tech finished the regular season at 7-5 also playing against an "average" strength of schedule.  The Red Raiders best game was a win against currently ranked #69 TCU and their worst game was a loss to currently ranked #57 Texas.  Texas Tech started at 7-0 (all against teams that were below average) and lost the last five games (all against teams that were above average).  On the field, the Red Raiders are currently the #71 most productive team in the FBS and their offense is currently ranked as the #43 team and their defense is currently ranked #97.

The model "predicts" that Arizona State will be victorious in tonight's Holiday Bowl.