Tuesday, December 31, 2013

Chick-fil-A Bowl 2013

In this years Chick-fil-A bowl we have the Texas A&M Aggies of the SEC playing the Duke Blue Devils of the ACC.  Below is an analysis of these two teams using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model, and below that is more detailed analysis.

Chick-fil-A Bowl 2013

Aggies Blue Devils
Wins 8 10
Losses 4 3
Total 28 65
Offense 6 46
Defense 101 88
SOS 53.50 68.92
Best 33 39
Worst 25 63

Duke finished the regular season at 10-3 playing against an "average" strength of schedule.  The best game was against currently ranked #39 Virginia Tech and their worst game was a loss to currently ranked #63 Pittsburgh.  Duke finished the regular season as the currently ranked #65 team in total production and the #46 ranked offense and the #88 ranked defense.

Texas A&M finished the regular season at  8-4 playing against a "tougher" strength of schedule.  The Aggies best game was against #33 Rice and their worst game was against #25 Auburn.  Texas A&M currently has the #6 most productive offense but only the #101 ranked defense leading the #28 ranked team production overall.

Texas A&M is more productive than Duke so the model "predicts" that Texas A&M will be the winner of the Chick-fil-A Bowl.

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