On Friday the NOVA Loans Home Arizona Bowl pits the New Mexico State Aggies from the Sun Belt Conference against
the Utah State Aggies from the Mountain West Conference. So here is
my
analysis of the NOVA Loans Home Arizona Bowl based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model. The model uses data provided at www.cfbstats.com.
Prediction
Given the overall productivity of the two programs, the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model gives a slight edge to the New Mexico State Aggies. Below is a look at each of these two football programs during the 2017 regular season.
New Mexico State Aggies
The Aggies finished the regular season at 7-5, while played against an "easier" strength
of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning
that New Mexico State's SOS was between one and two standard deviations greater than the
"league's" average SOS. For this season the Aggies'
best victory was
over #90
ranked Idaho by a score of (17-10). The Aggies' worst
loss
was
to #108
ranked Louisiana-Lafayette by a score of
(34-47). New Mexico State has the #61 ranked
team in total production with the #33
ranked offense and the #87 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.
Utah State Aggies
The Aggies finished the regular season at 6-6 while played against
an "average" strength
of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning
that Utah State's SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the
"league's" average SOS. This season the Aggies' best victory was
over
#83 ranked UNLV by a score of (52-28). Utah State's
worst loss was to
#93 ranked Air Force by a
score of
(35-38). Utah State has the #62 ranked
team in total production with the #45
ranked offense and the #71 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.
2017 Bowl Games
R&L Carriers New Orleans Bowl
Cure Bowl
Las Vegas Bowl
Gildan New Mexico Bowl
Raycom Media Camellia Bowl
Cheribundi Tart Cherry Roca Baton Bowl
DXL Frisco Bowl
Bad Boy Mower Gasparilla Bowl
Bahamas Bowl
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl
Birmingham Bowl
Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl
Dollar General Bowl
Hawaii Bowl
Zaxby's Heart of Dallas Bowl
Quick Lane Bowl
Cactus Bowl
Walk On's Independence Bowl
New Era Pinstripe Bowl
Foster Farms Bowl
Academy Sports & Outdoor Texas Bowl
Military Bowl
Camping World Bowl
SDCCU Holiday Bowl
Valero Alamo Bowl
Belk Bowl
Hyundai Sun Bowl
Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl