Friday, December 29, 2017

2017 Capital One Orange Bowl

On Saturday the Capital One Orange Bowl pits the Miami (FL) Hurricanes from the Atlantic Coast Conference against the Wisconsin Badgers from the Big 10 Conference.  So here is my analysis of the Capital One Orange Bowl based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.  The model uses data provided at www.cfbstats.com.

Prediction
Given the overall productivity of the two programs, the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model gives the edge to the Wisconsin Badgers.  Below is a look at each of these two football programs during the 2017 regular season.

Miami (FL) Hurricanes
The Hurricanes finished the regular season at 10-1, and were defeated by #8 ranked Clemson (3-38) in the Atlantic Coast conference championship game to be currently 10-2 overall.  Miami (FL) played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that Miami (FL)'s SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league's" average SOS.  For this season the Hurricanes' best victory was over #21 ranked Toledo by a score of (52-30).  The Hurricanss' only regular season loss was to #87 ranked Pittsburgh by a score of (14-24).  Miami (FL) has the #15 ranked team in total production with the #31 ranked offense and the #17 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

Wisconsin Badgers
The Badgers finished the regular season at 12-0, but lost in the Big 10 conference championship game to #2 ranked Ohio State by a score of (21-27) to be 12-1 currently.  The Badgers played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that Wisconsin's SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league's" average SOS.  This season the Badgers' best victory was over #12 ranked Florida Atlantic by a score of  (31-14), and they were undefeated during the regular season.  Wisconsin has the #7 ranked team in total production with the #22 ranked offense and the #3 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2017 Bowl Games
R&L Carriers New Orleans Bowl
Cure Bowl
Las Vegas Bowl
Gildan New Mexico Bowl
Raycom Media Camellia Bowl
Cheribundi Tart Cherry Roca Baton Bowl
DXL Frisco Bowl
Bad Boy Mower Gasparilla Bowl
Bahamas Bowl
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl
Birmingham Bowl
Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl 
Dollar General Bowl
Hawaii Bowl
Zaxby's Heart of Dallas Bowl 
Quick Lane Bowl
Cactus Bowl
Walk On's Independence Bowl
New Era Pinstripe Bowl
Foster Farms Bowl
Academy Sports & Outdoor Texas Bowl 
Military Bowl 
Camping World Bowl
SDCCU Holiday Bowl 
Valero Alamo Bowl
Belk Bowl
Hyundai Sun Bowl
Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl 
NOVA Home Loans Arizona Bowl 
Goodyear Cotton Bowl 
Taxslayer Bowl