Saturday, December 30, 2017

2017 Citrus Bowl

On Monday the Citrus Bowl pits the LSU Tiger from the Southeastern Conference against the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (independent).  So here is my analysis of the Citrus Bowl based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.  The model uses data provided at www.cfbstats.com.

Prediction
Given the overall productivity of the two programs, the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model gives the edge to the LSU Tigers.  Below is a look at each of these two football programs during the 2017 regular season.

LSU Tigers
The Tigers finished the regular season at 9-3, while playing against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that LSU's SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league's" average SOS.  For this season the Tigers' best victory was over #11 ranked Auburn by a score of (27-23).  The Tigers' worst loss was to #26 ranked Troy by a score of (21-24).  LSU has the #17 ranked team in total production with the #59 ranked offense and the #7 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish
The Fighting Irish finished the regular season at 9-3, while playing against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that Notre Dame's SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league's" average SOS.  This season the Fighting Irish's best victory was over #19 ranked Southern California by a score of  (49-14).  Notre Dames's worst loss was to #48 ranked Stanford by a score of (20-38).  Notre Dame has the #22 ranked team in total production with the #30 ranked offense and the #40 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2017 Bowl Games
R&L Carriers New Orleans Bowl
Cure Bowl
Las Vegas Bowl
Gildan New Mexico Bowl
Raycom Media Camellia Bowl
Cheribundi Tart Cherry Roca Baton Bowl
DXL Frisco Bowl
Bad Boy Mower Gasparilla Bowl
Bahamas Bowl
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl
Birmingham Bowl
Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl 
Dollar General Bowl
Hawaii Bowl
Zaxby's Heart of Dallas Bowl 
Quick Lane Bowl
Cactus Bowl
Walk On's Independence Bowl
New Era Pinstripe Bowl
Foster Farms Bowl
Academy Sports & Outdoor Texas Bowl 
Military Bowl 
Camping World Bowl
SDCCU Holiday Bowl 
Valero Alamo Bowl
Belk Bowl
Hyundai Sun Bowl
Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl 
NOVA Home Loans Arizona Bowl