On Saturday the Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl pits the Army West Point Black Knights (independent) against the San Diego State Aztecs from the Mountain West Conference! So here is my analysis of the Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model. The model uses data provided at www.cfbstats.com.
Prediction
Given the overall productivity of the two programs, the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model gives the edge to the San Diego State Aztecs. Below is a look at each of these two football programs during the 2017 regular season.
Army Black Knights
The Black Knights finished the regular season at 9-3 and played against
an "easier" strength
of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning
that Army's SOS was between one and two standard deviations greater than the
"league's" average SOS. This season the Black Knights' best victory was
over
#58 ranked Buffalo by a score of (21-17) and their worst loss was to #80 ranked Tulane by a
score of
(17-21). Army has the #50 ranked
team in total production with the #72
ranked offense and the #36 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.
San Diego State Aztecs
The Aztecs finished the regular season at 10-2 while playing against
an "average" strength
of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning
that San Diego State's SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the
"league's" average SOS. For this season the Aztecs' best victory was
over #36
ranked Northern Illinois by a score of (34-28). San Diego State's worst loss was
to #28
ranked Fresno State by a score of
(3-27). San Diego State has the #18 ranked
team in total production with the #44
ranked offense and the #13 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.
2017 Bowl Games
R&L Carriers New Orleans Bowl
Cure Bowl
Las Vegas Bowl
Gildan New Mexico Bowl
Raycom Media Camellia Bowl
Cheribundi Tart Cherry Roca Baton Bowl
DXL Frisco Bowl
Bad Boy Mower Gasparilla Bowl
Bahamas Bowl
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl
Birmingham Bowl