Thursday, December 28, 2017

2017 Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl

On Friday the Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl pits the Kentucky Wildcats from the Southeastern Conference against the Northwestern Wildcats from the Big 10 Conference.  So here is my analysis of the Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.  The model uses data provided at www.cfbstats.com.

Prediction
Given the overall productivity of the two programs, the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model gives the edge to the Northwestern Wildcats.  Below is a look at each of these two football programs during the 2017 regular season.

Kentucky Wildcats
The Wildcats finished the regular season at 7-5, while played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that Kentucky's SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league's" average SOS.  For this season the Wildcats' best victory was over #30 ranked Southern Mississippi by a score of (24-17).  The Wildcats' worst loss was to #95 ranked Florida by a score of (27-28).  Kentucky has the #100 ranked team in total production with the #97 ranked offense and the #84 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

Northwestern Wildcats
The Wildcats finished the regular season at 9-3 while played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that Northwestern's SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league's" average SOS.  This season the Wildcats' best victory was over #44 ranked Purdue by a score of  (23-13).  Northwestern's worst loss was to #71 ranked Duke by a score of (17-44).  Northwestern has the #40 ranked team in total production with the #64 ranked offense and the #26 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2017 Bowl Games
R&L Carriers New Orleans Bowl
Cure Bowl
Las Vegas Bowl
Gildan New Mexico Bowl
Raycom Media Camellia Bowl
Cheribundi Tart Cherry Roca Baton Bowl
DXL Frisco Bowl
Bad Boy Mower Gasparilla Bowl
Bahamas Bowl
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl
Birmingham Bowl
Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl 
Dollar General Bowl
Hawaii Bowl
Zaxby's Heart of Dallas Bowl 
Quick Lane Bowl
Cactus Bowl
Walk On's Independence Bowl
New Era Pinstripe Bowl
Foster Farms Bowl
Academy Sports & Outdoor Texas Bowl 
Military Bowl 
Camping World Bowl
SDCCU Holiday Bowl 
Valero Alamo Bowl
Belk Bowl
Hyundai Sun Bowl