Thursday, October 29, 2026

Baylor Fires Head Football Coach Dave Aranda

Last weekend Baylor fired head football coach Dave Aranda.  The Baylor Bears were 40-40 overall, and 4-3 this season under the helm of coach Aranda.  Here's a look at the Baylor Bears since the 2008 NCAA FBS season for the last five seasons under Art Briles (2008-2015), Jim Grobe (2016), Matt Rhule (2017-2019) and Dave Aranda (2020-2026).

Following the production rank chart below is a short overview of the Baylor Bears football program during his tenure as head football coach based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.

Dave Aranda [2020-2026]

2020
The Bears finished the COVID-19 regular season at 2-7 playing against a “tougher” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning that Baylor's SOS was between one and two standard deviations lower than the "league" average SOS. Baylor's best win was against #97 ranked Kansas State by a score of (32-31) and their worst loss was to #82 ranked Texas Tech by a score of (23-24).  Baylor was the #100 ranked team overall, with the #88 ranked offense and the #81 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.
 
2021 Big 12 Champions
The Bears finished the regular season at 10-2 and played in the Big 12 championship game where they defeated #10 ranked Oklahoma State by a score of [21-16].  Baylor then defeated #26 ranked Mississippi in their post-season bowl game and finished at 12-2 ovearall.  The Bears played against a “tougher” strength of schedule (SOS). Baylor's best regular season win was against #14 ranked Iowa State by a score of (31-29) and their worst regular season loss was to #100 ranked TCU by a score of (28-30).  Baylor was the #13 ranked team overall, with the #25 ranked offense and the #14 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.
 
2022
The Bears finished the regular season at 6-6 and were again post-season bowl eligible where they were defeated by #14 ranked Air Force by a score of (15-30) to finish the season with a win-loss record of 6-7. The Bears played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning that Baylors SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation from the "league" average SOS. Baylor's best win was against #51 ranked Oklahoma by a score of (38-35) and their worst regular season loss was to #104 ranked West Virginia by a score of (40-43).  Baylor was the #46 ranked team overall, with the #47 ranked offense and the #52 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided by www.cfbstats.com.

2023
The Bears finished the regular season at 3-9.  The Bears played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS). Baylor's best regular season win was against #40 ranked UCF by a score of (36-35) and their worst regular season loss was to #116 ranked Houston by a score of (24-25). Baylor was the #121 ranked team overall, with the #113 ranked offense and the #102 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.
 
2024
The Bears finished the regular season at 8-4 and were post-season bowl game eligible, but were defeated by #62 ranked LSU by a score of (31-44) to finish at 8-5 overall.  The Bears played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS). Baylor's best regular season win was against #31 ranked TCU by a score of (37-34) and their worst regular season loss was to #78 ranked Utah by a score of (12-23).  Baylor was the #42 ranked team overall, with the #28 ranked offense and the #81 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.
 
2025
The Bears finished the regular season at 5-7.  The Bears played against a “tougher” strength of schedule (SOS). Baylor's best regular season win was against #8 ranked Kansas State by a score of (35-34) and their worst regular season loss was to #81 ranked Cincinnati by a score of (20-41).  Baylor was the #114 ranked team overall, with the #100 ranked offense and the #112 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.

2026
The Bears are currently at 4-3 when Aranda was fired.  Baylor played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS). The Bears best regular season win to date was against currently #26 ranked Louisiana Tech by a score of (36-19) and their worst regular season loss was to currently ranked #91 Auburn by a score of (16-17).  Baylor currently is the #49 ranked team overall, with the #67 ranked offense and the #33 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.

2026 NCAA FBS Head Coach Firings