Wednesday, December 20, 2017

2017 Bahamas Bowl

This Friday the Bahamas Bowl takes place in which the Ohio Bobcats from Mid American Conference play the UAB Blazers from the Sun Belt Conference!  So here is my analysis of the Bahamas Bowl based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.  The model uses data provided at www.cfbstats.com.

Prediction
Given the overall productivity of the two programs, the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model gives the edge to the Ohio Bobcats.  Below is a look at each of these two football programs during the 2017 regular season.

Ohio Bobcats
The Bobcats finished the regular season at 8-4 and played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that Ohio's SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league's" average SOS.  This season the Bobcats' best victory was over #21 ranked Toledo by a score of  (38-10) and their worst loss occurred the following week to #92 ranked Akron by a score of (34-37).  Ohio has the #33 ranked team in total production with the #24 ranked offense and the #61 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

UAB Blazers
The Blazers finished the regular season at 8-4 while playing against an "easier" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that UAB's SOS was between one and two standard deviations greater than the "league" average SOS.  For this season the Blazers' best victory was over #30 ranked Southern Mississippi by a score of (30-12).  UAB's worst loss was to #124 ranked Charlotte by a score of (24-25).  UAB has the #51 ranked team in total production with the #71 ranked offense and the #37 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2017 Bowl Games
R&L Carriers New Orleans Bowl
Cure Bowl
Las Vegas Bowl
Gildan New Mexico Bowl
Raycom Media Camellia Bowl
Cheribundi Tart Cherry Roca Baton Bowl
DXL Frisco Bowl
Bad Boy Mower Gasparilla Bowl 

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