Sunday, December 17, 2017

2017 Cheribundi Tart Cherry Boca Raton Bowl

On Tuesday the Akron Zips from the Mid American Conference will face off against the Florida Atlantic Owls out of Conference USA in the Cheribundi Tart Cherry Boca Raton Bowl!  The analysis below is based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.  The model uses data provided at www.cfbstats.com

Prediction
Given the overall productivity of the two programs, the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model would predict that the Florida Atlantic Owls winning as the Owls have both a superior offense and defense as compared to Akron.  Below is a look at each of these two football programs during the 2017 regular season.

Akron Zips
The Zips finished the regular season at 7-5 and played in the Mid American Conference championship game where they were defeated by #21 ranked Toledo (28-45) to be currently 7-6 as they enter the game on Tuesday.  Akron played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that Akron's SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league's" average SOS.  This season the Zips' best victory was over #33 ranked Ohio by a score of  (37-34) and Akron's worst loss was to #66 ranked Miami (OH) by a score of (14-24).  Akron has the #92 ranked team in total production with the #78 ranked offense and the #88 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

Florida Atlantic Owls
The Owls finished the regular season at 9-3 and defeated #?? ranked North Texas to claim the Conference USA conference championship and finish the regular season at 10-3.  Florida Atlantic played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that Florida Atlantic's SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league's" average SOS.  For this season the Owls best victory was over #56 ranked Marshall by a score of (30-25).  Florida Atlantic's worst loss was to #81 ranked Navy by a score of (19-42).  Florida Atlantic has the #12 ranked team in total production with the #7 ranked offense and the #64 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2017 Bowl Games
R&L Carriers New Orleans Bowl
Cure Bowl
Las Vegas Bowl
Gildan New Mexico Bowl
Raycom Media Camellia Bowl

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