Sunday, December 3, 2017

Jimbo Fisher Leaves Florida State for Texas A&M

Jimbo Fisher has moved as head football coach from Florida State to Texas A&M.  Fisher finished at 83-23 over the last eight seasons at the helm of the Seminoles program.

Below is a chart of offense, defense and total production of the Florida State University Seminoles football program during Fisher's tenure as head football coach, along with who would be the lowest ranked team during this time period (in purple) and the average team (sky blue).   Florida State has been above average during most of Fisher's tenure.  All rankings in this blog come from my Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.  More details about the program under Fisher are after the chart below, including a link to his employment contract are below.


Jimbo Fisher [2010-2017]

2010
The Seminoles finished the regular season at 9-4 and were bowl eligible where they defeated #31 ranked South Carolina by a score of (26-17).  Florida State played against a "tougher" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that the Seminoles SOS was between one and two standard deviations below the "league" average SOS.  The Seminoles best regular season game was a victory (30-16) over #28 ranked Maryland and their worst loss was to #38 ranked North Carolina by a score of (35-37).  Overall, the Seminoles had the #23 ranked team with the #31 ranked offense and the #24 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2011
Florida State finished the regular season overall at 8-4 (bowl eligible) and defeated by #38 ranked Notre Dame in their post-season bowl game by a score of (18-14) to finish the season at 9-4.  Florida State played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that their SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation from the average SOS of the league.  The Seminoles best game again was their victory over #42 ranked North Carolina State (34-0) and their worst loss was to #74 ranked Virginia (13-14).  Florida State had the #14 ranked team in total production with the #45 ranked offense and the #4 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2012
At the end of the regular season the Seminoles were 10-2 (and were bowl eligible) and won the ACC conference championship by defeating #50 ranked Georgia Tech (21-15) and then won their bowl game over #6 ranked Northern Illinois (31-10) to finish the season at 12-2 overall.  Florida State played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS.  The Seminoles best win was over #18 ranked Clemson (49-37) and their worst loss was to #69 ranked North Carolina State by a score of (16-17).  Florida State had the #2 ranked team in total production with the #6 ranked offense and the #10 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.  This was an amazing team, only to be bettered in the next season.

2013
At the end of the regular season the Seminoles were 12-0 (and were bowl eligible) and won the ACC conference championship by defeating #63 ranked Duke (45-7) and then won the "national championship" game over #30 ranked Auburn (34-31) to finish the season at 14-0 overall and claim the national championship.  Florida State played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS.  The Seminoles best victory was against #10 ranked Clemson (51-14).  Florida State had the #1 ranked team in total production with the #1 ranked offense and the #3 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.  This was an amazing team as well.


2014
The Seminoles again finished the regular season at 12-0 and were again bowl eligible, defeating #15 ranked Georgia Tech in the ACC conference championship game by a score of (37-35), but were defeated by #2 ranked Oregon (20-59) to finish at 13-1 overall.  Florida State played against a "tougher" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS.  The Seminoles best regular season game was a victory (23-17) over #11 ranked Clemson.  Overall, the Seminoles had the #43 ranked team with the #24 ranked offense and the #93 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2015
Florida State finished the regular season overall at 10-2 (bowl eligible) and were defeated by #9 ranked Houston in their post-season bowl game by a score of (24-38) to finish the season at 10-3.  Florida State played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS.  The Seminoles best game again was their victory over #18 ranked South Florida (34-14) and their worst loss was to #52 ranked Georgia Tech (16-22).  Florida State had the #16 ranked team in total production with the #41 ranked offense and the #10 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2016
At the end of the regular season the Seminoles were 10-2 (and were bowl eligible) defeating #4 ranked Michigan (33-32) while playing against a "much tougher" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that the Seminoles SOS was two or more standard deviations below the "league" average SOS.  The Seminoles best win was over #13 ranked Miami (FL) (20-19) and their worst loss was to #26 ranked North Carolina by a score of (35-37).  Florida State had the #24 ranked team in total production with the #33 ranked offense and the #40 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2017
At the time that Fisher left for Texas A&M, the Seminoles were 5-6 (and at the time were bowl ineligible) while playing against a "tougher" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS.  The Seminoles best win was over currently ranked #38 Wake Forest (26-19) and their worst loss was to currently ranked #52 ranked Boston College by a score of (3-35).  Florida State had the #74 ranked team in total production with the #111 ranked offense and the #19 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model

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