Tuesday, November 3, 2026

Florida State Fired Head Football Coach Mike Norvell

Last Sunday Florida State University fired head football coach Mike Norvell after a 3-5 start this season and with a 41-39 overall record.  Here's a look at the Florida State Seminoles since the 2008 NCAA FBS season for the last two seasons under Bobby Bowden (2008-2009), Jimbo Fisher (2010-2017), Willie Taggart (2018-2019) and Mike Norvell (2020-2026).

Following the production rank chart below is a short overview of the Florida State Seminoles football program during his tenure as head football coach based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.

Mike Norvell [2020-2026*] Contract - Original and seven amendments

2020
The Seminoles finished the COVID-19 regular season at 3-6 playing against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning that Florida State's SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation from the "league" average SOS. Florida State's best win was against #9 ranked North Carolina by a score of (31-28) and their worst loss was to #102 ranked Georgia Tech by a score of (13-16).  Florida State was the #113 ranked team overall, with the #74 ranked offense and the #110 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.
 
2021
The Seminoles finished the regular season at 5-7. The Seminoles played against a “tougher” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning that Florida State's SOS was between one and two standard deviations lower than the "league" average SOS. Florida State's best regular season win was against #31 ranked Miami (Florida) by a score of (31-28) and their worst regular season loss was to FCS Jacksonville State by a score of (17-20).  Florida State was the #77 ranked team overall, with the #88 ranked offense and the #53 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.
 
2022
The Seminoles finished the regular season at 9-3 and were post-season bowl eligible where they defeated  #51 ranked Oklahoma by a score of (35-32) to finish the season with a win-loss record of 10-3. The Seminoles played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning that Florida State's SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation from the "league" average SOS. Florida State's best win was against #23 ranked LSU by a score of (24-23) and their worst regular season loss was to #60 ranked North Carolina State by a score of (17-19).  Florida State was the #9 ranked team overall, with the #25 ranked offense and the #7 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided by www.cfbstats.com.

2023 ACC Champions
The Seminoles finished the regular season at 12-0 and played in the ACC championship game where they defeated #30 ranked Louisville by a score of [16-6].  Florida State then was defeated by #3 ranked Georgia by a score of (3-63) in their post-season bowl game and finished at 13-1 ovearall.  The Seminoles played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS). Florida State's best regular season win was against #22 ranked Clemson by a score of (31-24). Florida State was the #9 ranked team overall, with the #11 ranked offense and the #22 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.
 
2024
The Seminoles finished the regular season at 2-10.  The Seminoles played against a “much tougher” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning that the Seminoles SOS was lower than two standard deviations of the "league" average SOS. Florida State's best regular season win was against #52 ranked California by a score of (14-9) and their worst regular season loss was to #79 ranked North Carolina by a score of (11-35).  Florida State was the #125 ranked team overall, with the #133 ranked offense and the #58 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.
 
2025
The Seminoles finished the regular season at 5-7.  The Seminoles played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS). Florida State's best regular season win was against #44 ranked Wake Forest by a score of (42-7) and their worst regular season loss was to #124 ranked Stanford by a score of (13-20).  Florida State was the #39 ranked team overall, with the #50 ranked offense and the #28 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.

2026
The Seminoles are currently at 3-5 when Norvell was fired.  Florida State played against a “tougher” strength of schedule (SOS). The Seminoles best regular season win to date was against currently #75 ranked Virginia by a score of (38-7) and their worst regular season loss was to currently ranked #79 Clemson by a score of (24-36).  Florida State currently is the #98 ranked team overall, with the #59 ranked offense and the #126 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.

2026 NCAA FBS Head Coach Firings

Phil Longo and Sam Houston State 

Monday, November 2, 2026

Sam Houston State Fired Head Football Coach Phil Longo

Last week Sam Houston State fired head football coach Phil Longo after a nearly two season record of 3-17.  Here's a look at the Sam Houston State Bearkats football program since they joined the Football Bowl Subdivision in 2023, both under the last two seasons with KC Keller (2023-2024) and Phil Longo (2025-2026).

Following the production rank chart below is a short overview of the Sam Houston State Bearkats football program during his tenure as head football coach based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.

Phil Longo [2025-2026] Contract

2025
The Bearkats finished the regular season at 2-10.  The Bearkats played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning that Sam Houston State's SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation from the "league" average SOS. Sam Houston State's best regular season win was against #50 ranked Oregon State by a score of (21-17) and their worst regular season loss was to #115 ranked Middle Tennessee State by a score of (17-31).  Sam Houston State was the #135 ranked team overall, with the #130 ranked offense and the #136 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.

2026
The Bearkats are currently at 1-7 when Longo was fired.  Sam Houston State played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS). The Bearkats only regular season win to date was against FCS Nicolls State by a score of (59-0) and their worst regular season loss was to currently ranked #117 Missouri State by a score of (3-24).  Sam Houston State currently is the #104 ranked team overall, with the #110 ranked offense and the #81 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.

2026 NCAA FBS Head Coach Firings

Sunday, November 1, 2026

2026 NCAA FBS Top 25 Week 09

Using aggregate data provided from www.cfbstats.com, the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model has the University of Miami (FL) as the most productive NCAA FBS team!

If you are interested, here are the details of the Complex Invasion College Football production model. 

Rank Team
1 Miami (Florida)
2 Notre Dame
3 Indiana
4 LSU
5 Georgia
6 UCLA
7 Liberty
8 New Mexico
9 Ohio State
10 Duke
11 Utah
12 Wake Forest
13 North Dakota State
14 Iowa
15 Missouri
16 Boise State
17 Memphis
18 Tennessee
19 James Madison
20 Penn State
21 Louisville
22 Arizona
23 Nebraska
24 Northwestern
25 Oregon State

2026 Prior NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings 

Thursday, October 29, 2026

Baylor Fires Head Football Coach Dave Aranda

Last weekend Baylor fired head football coach Dave Aranda.  The Baylor Bears were 40-40 overall, and 4-3 this season under the helm of coach Aranda.  Here's a look at the Baylor Bears since the 2008 NCAA FBS season for the last five seasons under Art Briles (2008-2015), Jim Grobe (2016), Matt Rhule (2017-2019) and Dave Aranda (2020-2026).

Following the production rank chart below is a short overview of the Baylor Bears football program during his tenure as head football coach based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.

Dave Aranda [2020-2026]

2020
The Bears finished the COVID-19 regular season at 2-7 playing against a “tougher” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning that Baylor's SOS was between one and two standard deviations lower than the "league" average SOS. Baylor's best win was against #97 ranked Kansas State by a score of (32-31) and their worst loss was to #82 ranked Texas Tech by a score of (23-24).  Baylor was the #100 ranked team overall, with the #88 ranked offense and the #81 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.
 
2021 Big 12 Champions
The Bears finished the regular season at 10-2 and played in the Big 12 championship game where they defeated #10 ranked Oklahoma State by a score of [21-16].  Baylor then defeated #26 ranked Mississippi in their post-season bowl game and finished at 12-2 ovearall.  The Bears played against a “tougher” strength of schedule (SOS). Baylor's best regular season win was against #14 ranked Iowa State by a score of (31-29) and their worst regular season loss was to #100 ranked TCU by a score of (28-30).  Baylor was the #13 ranked team overall, with the #25 ranked offense and the #14 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.
 
2022
The Bears finished the regular season at 6-6 and were again post-season bowl eligible where they were defeated by #14 ranked Air Force by a score of (15-30) to finish the season with a win-loss record of 6-7. The Bears played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning that Baylors SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation from the "league" average SOS. Baylor's best win was against #51 ranked Oklahoma by a score of (38-35) and their worst regular season loss was to #104 ranked West Virginia by a score of (40-43).  Baylor was the #46 ranked team overall, with the #47 ranked offense and the #52 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided by www.cfbstats.com.

2023
The Bears finished the regular season at 3-9.  The Bears played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS). Baylor's best regular season win was against #40 ranked UCF by a score of (36-35) and their worst regular season loss was to #116 ranked Houston by a score of (24-25). Baylor was the #121 ranked team overall, with the #113 ranked offense and the #102 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.
 
2024
The Bears finished the regular season at 8-4 and were post-season bowl game eligible, but were defeated by #62 ranked LSU by a score of (31-44) to finish at 8-5 overall.  The Bears played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS). Baylor's best regular season win was against #31 ranked TCU by a score of (37-34) and their worst regular season loss was to #78 ranked Utah by a score of (12-23).  Baylor was the #42 ranked team overall, with the #28 ranked offense and the #81 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.
 
2025
The Bears finished the regular season at 5-7.  The Bears played against a “tougher” strength of schedule (SOS). Baylor's best regular season win was against #8 ranked Kansas State by a score of (35-34) and their worst regular season loss was to #81 ranked Cincinnati by a score of (20-41).  Baylor was the #114 ranked team overall, with the #100 ranked offense and the #112 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.

2026
The Bears are currently at 4-3 when Aranda was fired.  Baylor played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS). The Bears best regular season win to date was against currently #26 ranked Louisiana Tech by a score of (36-19) and their worst regular season loss was to currently ranked #91 Auburn by a score of (16-17).  Baylor currently is the #49 ranked team overall, with the #67 ranked offense and the #33 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.

2026 NCAA FBS Head Coach Firings

Sunday, October 25, 2026

North Carolina State Fires Head Football Coach Dave Doeren

Yesterday, North Carolina State fired head football coach Dave Doeren after thirteen and a half years at the helm of the Wolfpack football program.  The Wolfpack were 95-70 during Doeren time as head football coach.  Here's a look at the North Carolina State Wolfpack since the 2008 NCAA FBS season for the last five seasons under Tom O'Brien (2008-2012) and Dave Doeren (2013-2026).

Following the production rank chart below is a short overview of the North Carolina State Wolfpack football program during his tenure as head football coach based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.

Dave Doeren [2013-2026*] Contract

2013
The Wolfpack finished the regular season at 3-9 and were post-season bowl ineligible.  The Wolfpack played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS) meaning that their SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the average SOS for the "league". North Carolina State's best regular season win was against #88 ranked Louisiana Tech by a score of (40-14) and their worst regular season loss was to #83 ranked Wake Forest by a score of (13-28).  North Carolina State was the #99 ranked team overall, with the #104 ranked offense and the #74 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.
 
2014
The Wolfpack finished the regular season at 7-5 making them bowl eligible, where they defeated #78 ranked UCF by a score of (34-27) to finish at 8-5 overall.  The Wolfpack played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS). North Carolina State's best regular season win to date was against #78 ranked Old Dominion by a score of (46-34) and their worst regular season loss was to #53 ranked Boston College by a score of (14-30).  North Carolina State was the #25 ranked team overall, with the #36 ranked offense and the #30 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.
 
2015
The Wolfpack finished the regular season at 7-5 and were post-season bowl eligible where they were defeated by #32 ranked Mississippi State by a score of (28-51) to finish the season with a win-loss record of 7-6.  The Wolfpack played against a “average” strength of schedule (SOS). North Carolina State's best regular season win was against #34 ranked Boston College by a score of (24-8) and their worst regular season loss was to #71 ranked Virginia Tech by a score of (13-28).  North Carolina State was the #44 ranked team overall, with the #48 ranked offense and the #46 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.
 
2016
The Wolfpack finished the regular season at 6-6 and were again post-season bowl eligible where they  defeated #76 ranked Vanderbilt by a score of (41-17) to finish the season with a win-loss record of 7-6. The Wolfpack played against a “tougher” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning their SOS was between one and two standard deviations lower than the "league" average SOS. North Carolina State's best win was against #22 ranked Old Dominion by a score of (49-22) and their worst regular season loss was to #113 ranked East Carolina by a score of (30-33).  North Carolina State was the #27 ranked team overall, with the #66 ranked offense and the #17 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided by www.cfbstats.com.

2017
The Wolfpack finished the regular season at 8-4 and were bowl eligible where they defeated #83 ranked Arizona State by a score of (52-31) to finish the season with a win-loss record of 9-4 overall.  The Wolfpack played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS). North Carolina State's best regular season win was against #11 ranked Louisville by a score of (39-25) and their worst regular season loss was to #61 ranked South Carolina by a score of (28-35). North Carolina State was the #35 ranked team overall, with the #39 ranked offense and the #47 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.
 
2018
The Wolfpack finished the regular season at 9-3, and were post-season bowl game eligible, where they were defeated by #44 Texas A&M by a score of (13-52) to finish at 9-4 overall.  The Wolfpack played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS). North Carolina State's best regular season win was against #25 ranked Virginia by a score of (35-31) and their worst regular season loss was to #101 ranked Wake Forest by a score of (23-27).  North Carolina State was the #42 ranked team overall, with the #29 ranked offense and the #54 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.
 
2019
The Wolfpack finished the regular season at 4-8 and were post-season bowl ineligible.  The Wolfpack played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS). North Carolina State's best regular season win was against #51 ranked Ball State by a score of (34-23) and their worst regular season loss was to #113 ranked West Virginia by a score of (27-44).  North Carolina State was the #116 ranked team overall, with the #118 ranked offense and the #82 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.
 
2020
The Wolfpack finished the COVID-19 regular season at 7-4 playing against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS), and defeated #65 ranked Kentucky in their post-season bowl game. North Carolina State's best regular season win was against #7 ranked Liberty by a score of (15-14) and their worst regular season loss was to #46 ranked Virginia Tech by a score of (24-45).  North Carolina State was the #37 ranked team overall, with the #23 ranked offense and the #107 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.
 
2021
The Wolfpack finished the regular season at 9-3 and were post-season bowl eligible but their post-season bowl game was cancelled due to COVID-19 protocols.  The Wolfpack played against a “average” strength of schedule (SOS). North Carolina State's best regular season win was against #35 ranked Clemson by a score of (27-21) and their worst regular season loss was to #45 ranked Mississippi State by a score of (10-24).  North Carolina State was the #24 ranked team overall, with the #49 ranked offense and the #11 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.
 
2022
The Wolfpack finished the regular season at 8-4 and were again post-season bowl eligible where they were defeated by #47 ranked Maryland by a score of (12-16) to finish the season with a win-loss record of 8-5. The Wolfpack played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS). North Carolina State's best win was against #9 ranked Florida State by a score of (19-17) and their worst regular season loss was to #116 ranked Boston College by a score of (20-21).  North Carolina State was the #60 ranked team overall, with the #88 ranked offense and the #24 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided by www.cfbstats.com.

2023
The Wolfpack finished the regular season at 9-3 and were bowl eligible where they were defeated by #17 ranked Kansas State by a score of (19-28) to finish the season with a win-loss record of 9-4 overall.  The Wolfpack played against a “tougher” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning their SOS was between one and two standard deviations lower than the "league" average SOS. North Carolina State's best regular season win was against #22 ranked Clemson by a score of (24-17) and their worst regular season loss was to #48 ranked Duke by a score of (3-24). North Carolina State was the #52 ranked team overall, with the #65 ranked offense and the #39 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.
 
2024
The Wolfpack finished the regular season at 6-6 and were post-season bowl game eligible, but were defeated by #63 ranked East Carolina by a score of (21-26) to finish at 6-7 overall.  The Wolfpack played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS). North Carolina State's best regular season win was against #29 ranked Northern Illinois by a score of (24-17) and their worst regular season loss was to #114 ranked Wake Forest by a score of (30-34).  North Carolina State was the #89 ranked team overall, with the #89 ranked offense and the #89 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.
 
2025
The Wolfpack finished the regular season at 7-5 and were post-season bowl game eligible where they defeated #51 ranked Memphis by a score of (31-7) to finish overall at 8-5.  The Wolfpack played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS). North Carolina State's best regular season win was against #38 ranked Virginia by a score of (35-31) and their worst regular season loss was to #122 ranked Virginia Tech by a score of (21-23).  North Carolina State was the #84 ranked team overall, with the #55 ranked offense and the #102 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.

2026
The Wolfpack are currently at 3-4 when Doeren was fired.  North Carolina State played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS). The Wolfpacks' best regular season win to date was against currently #35 ranked Louisville by a score of (31-28) and their worst regular season loss was to currently ranked #133 Stanford by a score of (28-31).  North Carolina State currently is the #85 ranked team overall, with the #55 ranked offense and the #114 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.

2026 NCAA FBS Head Coach Firings

Michael Locksley and Maryland 

2026 NCAA FBS Top 25 Week 08

Using aggregate data provided from www.cfbstats.com, the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model has the University of Miami (FL) as the most productive NCAA FBS team!

If you are interested, here are the details of the Complex Invasion College Football production model. 

Rank Team
1 Miami (Florida)
2 Indiana
3 Georgia
4 Notre Dame
5 New Mexico
6 LSU
7 Liberty
8 Ohio State
9 UCLA
10 Northwestern
11 Utah
12 Boise State
13 Duke
14 Nebraska
15 Wake Forest
16 Oregon State
17 Tennessee
18 Arizona
19 James Madison
20 Wisconsin
21 North Dakota State
22 Penn State
23 BYU
24 Missouri
25 Texas

2026 Prior NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings