Tuesday, October 10, 2017

Gary Andersen Departs as Head Football Coach at Oregon State

Gary Andersen has departed as head football coach at Oregon State University yesterday.  Andersen was under contract until 2021, but decided it was best for the program to leave now, with the Beavers currently 1-5, their only victory over FCS Portland State in their second game of the season.  So, here is a look at Oregon State since Andersen's arrival.

Below is a chart of offense, defense and total production of the Oregon State Beavers football program during Andersen's tenure as head football coach, along with who would be the lowest ranked team during this time period (in purple) and the average team (sky blue).   Oregon State has been below average each season under his tenure. All rankings in this blog come from my Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.  More details about the program under Andersen are after the chart below as well as a link to his contract.


Gary Andersen [2015 - 2017*]

2015
In head coach Andersen's first year at the helm of the Beavers football team, Oregon State  finished the regular season overall at 2-10 (bowl ineligible).  Oregon State played against a "tougher" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that Oregon State's SOS was between one and two standard deviations lower than the "league" average SOS.  The Beavers best game again was their victory over #60 ranked San Jose State (35-21), and their worst loss was to #87 ranked Colorado (13-17).  Oregon State had the #120 ranked team in total production with the #113 ranked offense and the #113 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2016
At the end of the regular season the Beavers were again bowl ineligible with a 4-8 win/loss record, while playing against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that UTEP had an SOS plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league" average SOS.  The Miners best win was over #98 ranked California (47-44) and their worst loss was to #70 ranked UCLA by a score of (24-38).  Oregon State had the #95 ranked team in total production with the #90 ranked offense and the #74 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2017*
Near the halfway mark of the regular season the Beavers are 1-5, while playing against a "much tougher" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that Oregon State's SOS is lower than two standard deviations of the "league" SOS.  The Beavers only victory to date was over FCS Portland State and their worst loss was to currently ranked #34 Minnesota by a score of (14-48).  At the time of Andersen's departure, Oregon State had the #123 ranked team in total production (that is the worst team), with the #116 ranked offense and the #118 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model

2017 NCAA FBS Head Coach Changes
Minnesota and Tracy Claeys
California and Sonny Dykes
Oklahoma and Bob Stoops
Mississippi (Ole Miss) and Hugh Freeze
UTEP and Sean Kugler

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