Sunday, November 19, 2017

UCLA Fires Head Football Coach Jim Mora

Earlier today UCLA fired head football coach Jim Mora.  Mora has been the head football coach at UCLA since 2012 and finishes with a win/loss record of 46-30 overall.  Given the change in leadership coming with the Bruins, let's take a look at the football program since Mora's arrival at UCLA.

Below is a chart of offense, defense and total production of the University of California at Los Angeles football program during Mora's tenure as head football coach, along with who would be the lowest ranked team during this time period (in purple) and the average team (sky blue).   As you may notice the last two seasons has resulted in a decline in overall productivity (below average).  All rankings in this blog come from my Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.  More details about the program under Mora are after the chart below, including a link to his employment contract are below.


Jim Mora [2012 - 2017*]

2012
The Bruins were 9-3 during the regular season under Mora's first year at the helm of the football program, and lost the Pac12 championship game to Stanford (24-27) and also lost their bowl game to #49 ranked Baylor (26-49) to finish the season 9-5.  UCLA played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that their SOS was plus or minus standard deviation of the "league" average SOS.  The Bruins best game again was their victory over #24 ranked Arizona State (45-43) and their worst loss was to #102 ranked California (17-43).  UCLA had the #36 ranked team in total production with the #19 ranked offense and the #76 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2013
The Bruins again finished the regular season at 9-3 and defeated #54 ranked Virginia Tech by as score of (42-12) to finish overall 10-3.  UCLA played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS.  The Bruins best game again was their victory over #12 ranked Washington (41-31) and their worst loss was to #27 ranked Stanford (10-24).  UCLA had the #26 ranked team in total production with the #28 ranked offense and the #34 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2014
UCLA finished the regular season at 9-3 for the third straight season under Mora's tenure at the helm of the football program (bowl eligible), and defeated #37 Kansas State (40-35) in their post-season bowl game to finish 10-3 overall.  The Bruins played against a "tougher" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that their SOS was between one and two standard deviations below the "league" average SOS.  The Bruins best game again was their victory over #12 ranked Memphis (42-35) and their worst loss was again to #62 ranked Utah (28-30).  UCLA had the #44 ranked team in total production with the #31 ranked offense and the #71 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2015
The Bruins were 8-4 during the regular season under Mora's fourth year at the helm of the football program (bowl eligible), and were defeated by #79 ranked Nebraska in their post-season bowl game by a score of (29-37) to finish 8-5 overall.  UCLA played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS.  The Bruins best game again was their victory over #41 ranked California (40-24) and their worst loss was to #81 ranked Arizona State (23-38).  UCLA had the #36 ranked team in total production with the #33 ranked offense and the #55 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2016
UCLA finished the regular season at 4-8 and were bowl ineligible for the first time with Mora as their head football coach.  The Bruins played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS.  The Bruins best game again was their victory over #50 ranked BYU (17-14) and their worst loss was again to #116 ranked Arizona State (20-23).  UCLA had the #70 ranked team in total production with the #108 ranked offense and the #25 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2017*
At the time of Mora's departure, the Bruins were 5-6 overall, playing against a "tougher" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS.  The Bruins best win was their opening game against #44 currently ranked Texas A&M by a score of (45-44) and their worst loss was to #56 currently ranked Utah by a score of (17-48).  At the time of Mora's departure, UCLA had the #102 ranked team in total production, with the #39 ranked offense and the #123 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2017 NCAA FBS Head Coach Changes
Minnesota and Tracy Claeys
California and Sonny Dykes
Oklahoma and Bob Stoops
Mississippi (Ole Miss) and Hugh Freeze
UTEP and Sean Kugler
Oregon State and Gary Andersen
Georgia Southern and Tyson Summers
Florida and Jim McElwain
Butch Jones and Tennessee

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