Monday, December 18, 2017

2017 DXL Frisco Bowl

On Tuesday the DXL Frisco Bowl takes place in which the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs from Conference USA play the Southern Methodist Mustangs from the American Athletic Conference!  So here is my analysis of the DXL Frisco Bowl based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.  The model uses data provided at www.cfbstats.com.

Prediction
Given the overall productivity of the two programs, the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model gives a slight edge to the Southern Methodist Mustangs.  Below is a look at each of these two football programs during the 2017 regular season.

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
The Bulldogs finished the regular season at 6-6 and played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that Louisiana Tech's SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league's" average SOS.  This season the Bulldogs' best victory was over #34 ranked UTSA by a score of  (20-6) and their worst loss was to #69 ranked North Texas by a score of (23-24).  Louisiana Tech has the #73 ranked team in total production with the #65 ranked offense and the #67 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

Southern Methodist Mustangs
The Mustangs finished the regular season at 7-5 while playing against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS.  For this season the Mustangs' best victory was over #27 ranked Arkansas State by a score of (44-21).  SMU's worst loss was to #81 ranked Navy by a score of (40-43).  SMU has the #60 ranked team in total production with the #14 ranked offense and the #108 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2017 Bowl Games
R&L Carriers New Orleans Bowl
Cure Bowl
Las Vegas Bowl
Gildan New Mexico Bowl
Raycom Media Camellia Bowl
Cheribundi Tart Cherry Roca Baton Bowl

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