On Saturday the Dollar General Bowl has the Appalachian State Mountaineers from the Sun Belt Conference playing the Toledo Rockets from the Mid American Conference! So here is my
analysis of the Dollar General Bowl based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model. The model uses data provided at www.cfbstats.com.
Prediction
Given the overall productivity of the two programs, the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model gives a slight edge to the Appalachian State Mountaineers. Below is a look at each of these two football programs during the 2017 regular season.
Appalachian State Mountaineers
The Mountaineers finished the regular season at 8-4 and played against
an "easier" strength
of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning
that Appalachian State's SOS was between one and two standard deviations greater than the
"league's" average SOS. This season the Mountaineers' best victory was
over
#61 ranked New Mexico State by a score of (45-31) and their worst loss was to #109 ranked Louisiana-Monroe by a
score of
(45-52). Appalachian State has the #20 ranked
team in total production with the #36
ranked offense and the #23 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.
Toledo Rockets
The Rockets finished the regular season at 10-2, then defeated #92 ranked Akron Zips in the Mid American Conference championship game to currently be 11-2 overall, while playing against
an "average" strength
of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning
that Toledo's SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the
"league's" average SOS. For this season the Rockets' best victory was
over #36
ranked Northern Illinois by a score of (27-17). Toledo's worst loss was
to #33
ranked Ohio by a score of
(10-38). Toledo has the #21 ranked
team in total production with the #8
ranked offense and the #85 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.
2017 Bowl Games
R&L Carriers New Orleans Bowl
Cure Bowl
Las Vegas Bowl
Gildan New Mexico Bowl
Raycom Media Camellia Bowl
Cheribundi Tart Cherry Roca Baton Bowl
DXL Frisco Bowl
Bad Boy Mower Gasparilla Bowl
Bahamas Bowl
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl
Birmingham Bowl
Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl
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