Saturday, December 23, 2017

2017 Quick Lane Bowl

On Tuesday the Quick Lane Bowl pits the Duke Blue Devils from the Atlantic Coast Conference against the Northern Illinois Huskies from the Mid American Conference.  So here is my analysis of the Quick Lane Bowl based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.  The model uses data provided at www.cfbstats.com.

Prediction
Given the overall productivity of the two programs, the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model gives the edge to the Northern Illnois Huskies.  Below is a look at each of these two football programs during the 2017 regular season.

Duke Blue Devils
The Blue Devils finished the regular season at 6-6, playing against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that Duke's SOS was between plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league's" average SOS.  This season the Blue Devils' best victory was over #40 ranked Northwestern by a score of  (41-17) and their worst loss was to #87 ranked Pittsburgh by a score of (17-24).  Duke has the #71 ranked team in total production with the #100 ranked offense and the #29 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

Northern Illinois Huskies
The Huskies finished the regular season at 8-4, while playing against a "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS.  For this season the Huskies' best victory was over #53 ranked Western Michigan by a score of (35-31).  The Northern Illinois worst loss was to #57 ranked Boston College by a score of (20-23).  Northern Illinois has the #36 ranked team in total production with the #69 ranked offense and the #18 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2017 Bowl Games
R&L Carriers New Orleans Bowl
Cure Bowl
Las Vegas Bowl
Gildan New Mexico Bowl
Raycom Media Camellia Bowl
Cheribundi Tart Cherry Roca Baton Bowl
DXL Frisco Bowl
Bad Boy Mower Gasparilla Bowl
Bahamas Bowl
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl
Birmingham Bowl
Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl 
Dollar General Bowl
Hawaii Bowl
Zaxby's Heart of Dallas Bowl