Wednesday, December 27, 2017

2017 Camping World Bowl

On Thursday the Camping World Bowl pits the Oklahoma State Cowboys from the Big 12 Conference against the Virginia Tech Hokies from the Atlantic Coast Conference.  So here is my analysis of the Camping World Bowl based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.  The model uses data provided at www.cfbstats.com.

Prediction
Given the overall productivity of the two programs, the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model gives a tiny edge to the Oklahoma State Cowboys.  Below is a look at each of these two football programs during the 2017 regular season.

Oklahoma State Cowboys
The Cowboys finished the regular season at 9-3, while playing against  an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that Oklahoma State's SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league's" average SOS.  For this season the Cowboys' best victory was over #35 ranked Iowa State by a score of (49-42), and their worst loss was to #68 ranked Kansas State by a score of (40-45).  Oklahoma State has the #13 ranked team in total production with the #2 ranked offense and the #96 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

Virginia Tech Hokies
The Hokies finished the regular season at 9-3 while played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that Virginia Tech's SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league's" average SOS.  This season the Hokies' best victory was over #57 ranked Boston College by a score of  (23-10).  Virginia Tech's worst loss was to #67 ranked Georgia Tech by a score of (22-28).  Virginia has the #24 ranked team in total production with the #63 ranked offense and the #9 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2017 Bowl Games
R&L Carriers New Orleans Bowl
Cure Bowl
Las Vegas Bowl
Gildan New Mexico Bowl
Raycom Media Camellia Bowl
Cheribundi Tart Cherry Roca Baton Bowl
DXL Frisco Bowl
Bad Boy Mower Gasparilla Bowl
Bahamas Bowl
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl
Birmingham Bowl
Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl 
Dollar General Bowl
Hawaii Bowl
Zaxby's Heart of Dallas Bowl 
Quick Lane Bowl
Cactus Bowl
Walk On's Independence Bowl
New Era Pinstripe Bowl
Foster Farms Bowl
Academy Sports & Outdoor Texas Bowl 
Military Bowl