On Saturday the AutoZone Liberty Bowl pits the Iowa State Cyclones from the Big 12 Conference against
the Memphis Tigers from the American Athletic Conference. So here is
my
analysis of the AutoZone Liberty Bowl based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model. The model uses data provided at www.cfbstats.com.
Prediction
Given the overall productivity of the two programs, the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model gives the edge to the Memphis Tigers. Below is a look at each of these two football programs during the 2017 regular season.
Iowa State Cyclones
The Cyclones finished the regular season at 7-5, while playing against an "average" strength
of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning
that Iowa State's SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the
"league's" average SOS. For this season the Cyclones'
best victory was
over #5
ranked Oklahoma by a score of (38-31). The Cyclones' worst
loss
was
to #72
ranked West Virginia by a score of
(16-20). Iowa State has the #35 ranked
team in total production with the #41
ranked offense and the #49 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.
Memphis Tigers
The Tigers finished the regular season at 10-2, while playing against
an "easier" strength
of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning
that Memphis' SOS was between one and two standard deviations higher than the
"league's" average SOS. This season the Tigers' best victory was
over
#55 ranked Houston by a score of (42-38). Memphis'
worst loss was to
#6 ranked UCF (twice). Memphis has the #16 ranked
team in total production with the #4
ranked offense and the #102 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.
2017 Bowl Games
R&L Carriers New Orleans Bowl
Cure Bowl
Las Vegas Bowl
Gildan New Mexico Bowl
Raycom Media Camellia Bowl
Cheribundi Tart Cherry Roca Baton Bowl
DXL Frisco Bowl
Bad Boy Mower Gasparilla Bowl
Bahamas Bowl
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl
Birmingham Bowl
Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl
Dollar General Bowl
Hawaii Bowl
Zaxby's Heart of Dallas Bowl
Quick Lane Bowl
Cactus Bowl
Walk On's Independence Bowl
New Era Pinstripe Bowl
Foster Farms Bowl
Academy Sports & Outdoor Texas Bowl
Military Bowl
Camping World Bowl
SDCCU Holiday Bowl
Valero Alamo Bowl
Belk Bowl
Hyundai Sun Bowl
Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl
NOVA Home Loans Arizona Bowl
Goodyear Cotton Bowl
Taxslayer Bowl
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