Saturday, December 30, 2017

2017 Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl

On Monday the Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl pits the Auburn Tigers from the Southeastern Conference against the Central Florida Knights from the American Athletic Conference.  So here is my analysis of the Chic-fil-A Peach Bowl based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.  The model uses data provided at www.cfbstats.com.

Prediction
Given the overall productivity of the two programs, the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model gives the edge to the Central Florida Knights.  Below is a look at each of these two football programs during the 2017 regular season.

Auburn Tigers
The Tigers finished the regular season at 10-2, and was defeated by #9 ranked Georgia (7-28) in the Southeastern conference championship game to be currently 10-3 overall, while played against a "tougher" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that Auburn's SOS was between one and two standard deviations lower than the "league's" average SOS.  For this season the Tigers' best victory was over #9 ranked Georgia (during the regular season) by a score of (40-17).  The Tigers' worst loss was to #17 ranked LSU by a score of (23-27).  Auburn has the #11 ranked team in total production with the #17 ranked offense and the #14 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

Central Florida Knights
The Knights finished the regular season at 11-0, then defeated #16 ranked Memphis in the American Athletic conference championship game by a score of (62-55) to be 12-0 currently.  The Knights played against an "easier" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that Central Florida's SOS was between one and two standard deviations higher than the "league's" average SOS.  This season the Knights' best victory was over #16 ranked Memphis during the regular season by a score of  (40-13).  Central Florida has the #6 ranked team in total production with the #3 ranked offense and the #56 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2017 Bowl Games
R&L Carriers New Orleans Bowl
Cure Bowl
Las Vegas Bowl
Gildan New Mexico Bowl
Raycom Media Camellia Bowl
Cheribundi Tart Cherry Roca Baton Bowl
DXL Frisco Bowl
Bad Boy Mower Gasparilla Bowl
Bahamas Bowl
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl
Birmingham Bowl
Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl 
Dollar General Bowl
Hawaii Bowl
Zaxby's Heart of Dallas Bowl 
Quick Lane Bowl
Cactus Bowl
Walk On's Independence Bowl
New Era Pinstripe Bowl
Foster Farms Bowl
Academy Sports & Outdoor Texas Bowl 
Military Bowl 
Camping World Bowl
SDCCU Holiday Bowl 
Valero Alamo Bowl
Belk Bowl
Hyundai Sun Bowl
Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl 
NOVA Home Loans Arizona Bowl