Tuesday, December 26, 2017

2017 Foster Farms

On Wednesday the Foster Farm Bowl pits the Arizona Wildcats from the Pacific 12 Conference against the Purdue Boilermakers from the Big 10 Conference.  So here is my analysis of the Foster Farms Bowl based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.  The model uses data provided at www.cfbstats.com.

Prediction
Given the overall productivity of the two programs, the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model gives the edge to the Purdue Boilermakers.  Below is a look at each of these two football programs during the 2017 regular season.

Arizona Wildcats
The Wildcats finished the regular season at 7-5, while playing against an "easier" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that Arizona's SOS was between one and two standard deviations higher than the "league's" average SOS.  For this season the Wildcats' best victory was over #39 ranked Washington State by a score of (58-37); their only victory over a team currently ranked in the top half of the FBS.  The Wildcats' worst loss was to in-state rival #78 ranked Arizona State by a score of (30-42).  Arizona has the #49 ranked team in total production with the #12 ranked offense and the #105 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

Purdue Boilermakers
The Boilermakers finished the regular season at 6-6 while played against a "tougher" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that Purdue's SOS was between one and two standard deviations lower than the "league's" average SOS.  This season the Boilermakers' best victory was over #32 ranked Missouri by a score of  (35-3).  Purdue's worst loss was to #118 ranked Nebraska by a score of (24-25).  Purdue has the #44 ranked team in total production with the #52 ranked offense and the #42 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2017 Bowl Games
R&L Carriers New Orleans Bowl
Cure Bowl
Las Vegas Bowl
Gildan New Mexico Bowl
Raycom Media Camellia Bowl
Cheribundi Tart Cherry Roca Baton Bowl
DXL Frisco Bowl
Bad Boy Mower Gasparilla Bowl
Bahamas Bowl
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl
Birmingham Bowl
Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl 
Dollar General Bowl
Hawaii Bowl
Zaxby's Heart of Dallas Bowl 
Quick Lane Bowl
Cactus Bowl
Walk On's Independence Bowl
New Era Pinstripe Bowl