Tuesday, December 26, 2017

2017 New Era Pinstripe Bowl

On Wednesday the New Era Pinstripe Bowl pits the Boston College Eagles from the Atlantic Coast Conference against the Iowa Hawkeyes from the Big 10 Conference.  So here is my analysis of the New Era Pinstripe Bowl based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.  The model uses data provided at www.cfbstats.com.

Prediction
Given the overall productivity of the two programs, the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model gives the edge to the Boston College Eagles.  Below is a look at each of these two football programs during the 2017 regular season.

Boston College Eagles
The Eagles finished the regular season at 7-5, while playing against a "much tougher" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that Boston College's SOS was more than two standard deviations lower than the "league" average SOS.  For this season the Eagles' best victory was over #10 ranked Louisville by a score of (45-42).  The Eagles' worst loss was to #43 ranked Wake Forest by a score of (10-34).  Boston College has the #57 ranked team in total production with the #61 ranked offense and the #54 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

Iowa Hawkeyes
The Hawkeyes finished the regular season at 7-5 while played against a "tougher" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that Iowa's SOS was between one and two standard deviations lower than the "league's" average SOS.  This season the Hawkeyes' best victory was over #2 ranked Ohio State by a score of  (55-24).  Iowa's worst loss was to #59 ranked Michigan State by a score of (10-17).  Iowa has the #63 ranked team in total production with the #94 ranked offense and the #28 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2017 Bowl Games
R&L Carriers New Orleans Bowl
Cure Bowl
Las Vegas Bowl
Gildan New Mexico Bowl
Raycom Media Camellia Bowl
Cheribundi Tart Cherry Roca Baton Bowl
DXL Frisco Bowl
Bad Boy Mower Gasparilla Bowl
Bahamas Bowl
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl
Birmingham Bowl
Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl 
Dollar General Bowl
Hawaii Bowl
Zaxby's Heart of Dallas Bowl 
Quick Lane Bowl
Cactus Bowl
Walk On's Independence Bowl