Tuesday, December 26, 2017

2017 Academy Sports & Outdoors Texas Bowl

On Wednesday the Academy Sports & Outdoor TexasBowl pits the Missouri Tigers from the Southeastern Conference against the Texas Longhorns from the Big 12 Conference.  So here is my analysis of the Academy Sports & Outdoor Texas Bowl based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.  The model uses data provided at www.cfbstats.com.

Prediction
Given the overall productivity of the two programs, the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model gives the edge to the Missouri Tigers.  Below is a look at each of these two football programs during the 2017 regular season.

Missouri Tigers
The Tigers finished the regular season at 7-5, while playing against an "easier" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that Missouri's SOS was between one and two standard deviations higher than the "league's" average SOS.  For this season the Tigers' best victory was over #90 ranked Idaho by a score of (68-21); yes, their best victory was over a team currently ranked in the bottom third of the FBS.  The Tigers' worst loss was to #100 ranked Kentucky by a score of (34-40).  Missouri has the #32 ranked team in total production with the #9 ranked offense and the #92 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

Texas Longhorns
The Longhorns finished the regular season at 6-6 while played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that Texas' SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league's" average SOS.  This season the Longhorns' best victory was over #35 ranked Iowa State by a score of  (17-7).  Texas' worst loss was to #105 ranked Maryland by a score of (41-51).  Texas has the #54 ranked team in total production with the #80 ranked offense and the #25 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2017 Bowl Games
R&L Carriers New Orleans Bowl
Cure Bowl
Las Vegas Bowl
Gildan New Mexico Bowl
Raycom Media Camellia Bowl
Cheribundi Tart Cherry Roca Baton Bowl
DXL Frisco Bowl
Bad Boy Mower Gasparilla Bowl
Bahamas Bowl
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl
Birmingham Bowl
Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl 
Dollar General Bowl
Hawaii Bowl
Zaxby's Heart of Dallas Bowl 
Quick Lane Bowl
Cactus Bowl
Walk On's Independence Bowl
New Era Pinstripe Bowl
Foster Farms Bowl