Thursday, December 28, 2017

2017 Belk Bowl

On Friday the Belk Bowl pits the Texas A&M Aggies from the Southeastern Conference against the Wake Forest Demon Deacons from the Atlantic Coast Conference.  So here is my analysis of the Belk Bowl based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.  The model uses data provided at www.cfbstats.com.

Prediction
Given the overall productivity of the two programs, the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model gives the edge to the Wake Forest Demon Deacons.  Below is a look at each of these two football programs during the 2017 regular season.

Texas A&M Aggies
The Aggies finished the regular season at 6-6, while played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that Texas A&M's SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league's" average SOS.  For this season the Aggies' best victory was over #64 ranked South Carolina by a score of (24-17).  The Aggies' worst loss was to #96 ranked Arkansas by a score of (43-50).  Texas A&M has the #70 ranked team in total production with the #49 ranked offense and the #76 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons
The Demon Deacons finished the regular season at 7-5 while played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that Wake Forest's SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league's" average SOS.  This season the Demon Deacons' best victory was over #10 ranked Louisville by a score of  (42-32).  Wake Forest's worst loss was to #75 ranked Florida State by a score of (19-26).  Wake Forest has the #43 ranked team in total production with the #23 ranked offense and the #75 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2017 Bowl Games
R&L Carriers New Orleans Bowl
Cure Bowl
Las Vegas Bowl
Gildan New Mexico Bowl
Raycom Media Camellia Bowl
Cheribundi Tart Cherry Roca Baton Bowl
DXL Frisco Bowl
Bad Boy Mower Gasparilla Bowl
Bahamas Bowl
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl
Birmingham Bowl
Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl 
Dollar General Bowl
Hawaii Bowl
Zaxby's Heart of Dallas Bowl 
Quick Lane Bowl
Cactus Bowl
Walk On's Independence Bowl
New Era Pinstripe Bowl
Foster Farms Bowl
Academy Sports & Outdoor Texas Bowl 
Military Bowl 
Camping World Bowl
SDCCU Holiday Bowl 
Valero Alamo Bowl