Monday, January 1, 2018

2017 Rose Bowl

On Monday the Rose Bowl (national championship semi-final #1) pits the Georgia Bulldog from the Southeastern Conference against the Oklahoma Sooners from the Big 12 Conference.  So here is my analysis of the Rose Bowl based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.  The model uses data provided at www.cfbstats.com.

Prediction
Given the overall productivity of the two programs, the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model gives the edge to the Oklahoma Sooners.  Below is a look at each of these two football programs during the 2017 regular season.

Georgia Bulldogs
The Bulldogs finished the regular season at 11-1, and defeated #11 ranked Auburn (28-7) in the Southeastern conference championship game to be currently 12-1 overall, while playing against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that Georgia's SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league's" average SOS.  For this season the Bulldogs' best victory was over #20 ranked Appalachian State by a score of (31-10).  The Bulldogs' only loss was to #11 ranked Auburn (during the regular season) by a score of (17-40).  Georgia has the #9 ranked team in total production with the #20 ranked offense and the #4 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

Oklahoma Sooners
The Sooners finished the regular season at 11-1, then defeated #14 ranked TCU in the Big 12 conference championship game by a score of (41-17) to be 12-1 currently.  The Sooners played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that Oklahoma's SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league's" average SOS.  This season the Sooners' best victory was over #2 ranked Ohio State by a score of  (31-16).  Oklahoma's only loss was to #35 ranked Iowa State by a score of (31-38).  Oklahoma has the #5 ranked team in total production with the #1 ranked offense and the #79 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2017 Bowl Games
R&L Carriers New Orleans Bowl
Cure Bowl
Las Vegas Bowl
Gildan New Mexico Bowl
Raycom Media Camellia Bowl
Cheribundi Tart Cherry Roca Baton Bowl
DXL Frisco Bowl
Bad Boy Mower Gasparilla Bowl
Bahamas Bowl
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl
Birmingham Bowl
Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl 
Dollar General Bowl
Hawaii Bowl
Zaxby's Heart of Dallas Bowl 
Quick Lane Bowl
Cactus Bowl
Walk On's Independence Bowl
New Era Pinstripe Bowl
Foster Farms Bowl
Academy Sports & Outdoor Texas Bowl 
Military Bowl 
Camping World Bowl
SDCCU Holiday Bowl 
Valero Alamo Bowl
Belk Bowl
Hyundai Sun Bowl
Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl 
NOVA Home Loans Arizona Bowl