Tom Herman Leaves Houston for Texas

Tom Herman recently left as head football coach at Houston for the head football coaching job at the University of Texas.  While he was only the head football coach at Houston for two seasons, let's take a look at the Houston Cougars during Herman's short tenure.

Below is a chart of offense, defense and total production of the University of Houston Cougars football program during Herman's tenure as head football coach, along with who would be the lowest ranked team during this time period (in purple) and the average team (sky blue).   As you may notice, Houston above average under his tenure. All rankings in this blog come from my Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.  More details about the program under Herman are after the chart below, including his original contract are linked below.

Tom Herman [2015-2016]

2015
Houston finished the regular season overall at 12-1 (bowl eligible) and defeated #16 ranked Florida State in their post-season bowl game by a score of (38-24) to finish the season at 13-1.  Houston played against an "easier" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that their SOS was between one and two standard deviations greater than the average SOS for the "league".  The Cougars best game again was their victory over #5 ranked Navy (52-31) and their only loss was to #80 ranked Connecticut (17-20).  Houston had the #9 ranked team in total production with the #4 ranked offense and the #60 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2016
At the end of the regular season the Cougars were 9-3 (and were bowl eligible) at the time of Herman's departure, while playing against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS.  The Cougars best win was over #7 ranked Louisville (36-10) and their worst loss was to #100 ranked SMU by a score of (16-38).  Houston had the #21 ranked team in total production with the #36 ranked offense and the #23 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2016 NCAA FBS Top 25 Ranking for Week 15

Below is the list of the Top 25 teams using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided at www.cfbstats.com.  According to the Complex Invasion College Football production model The University of Alabama Crimson Tide is again the number one team in terms of the most productive team in the FBS!  Links to the previous weeks rankings at the bottom.

Rank	Team
1	Alabama
2	Washington
3	Ohio State
4	Michigan
5	Western Michigan
6	Clemson
7	Louisville
8	Temple
9	Auburn
10	San Diego State
11	LSU
12	Western Kentucky
13	Colorado
14	Penn State
15	Miami (Florida)
16	Boise State
17	Oklahoma
18	Appalachian State
19	Wisconsin
20	Toledo
21	Houston
22	Army
23	Florida State
24	Louisiana Tech
25	South Florida

Previous 2016 Top 25 Rankings
2016 Top 25 for Week #14
2016 Top 25 for Week #13
2016 Top 25 for Week #12
2016 Top 25 for Week #11
2016 Top 25 for Week #10
2016 Top 25 for Week #9
2016 Top 25 for Week #8
2016 Top 25 for Week #7
2016 Top 25 for Week #6
2016 Top 25 for Week #5
2016 Top 25 for Week #4
2016 Top 25 for Week #3
2016 Top 25 for Week #2

Tommy Tuberville Resigns as Head Football Coach at Cincinnati

Tommy Tuberville has recently resigned as head football coach, so let's take a look at the Cincinnati Bearcats during his tenure as head football coach for Cincinnati.

Below is a chart of offense, defense and total production of the Cincinnati Bearcats football program during Tuberville's tenure as head football coach, along with who would be the lowest ranked team during this time period (in purple) and the average team (sky blue).   As you may notice, Cincinnati has been trending downward over the last few years under Tuberville's tenure. All rankings in this blog come from my Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.  More details about the program under Tuberville are after the chart below, including his original contract (and recent contract amendment) are linked below.

Tommy Tuberville (2013 - 2016) [2016 contract amendment]

2013
At the end of the regular season the Bearcats were 9-3 (bowl eligible) losing their post-season bowl game to #41 ranked North Carolina by a score of (17-39) to finish 9-4 overall, while playing against an "easier" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that their strength of schedule was one standard deviation higher than the "league's" average SOS.  The Bearcats best win was over #22 ranked Houston (24-17) and their worst loss was to #111 ranked South Florida by a score of (20-26).  Cincinnati had the #25 ranked team in total production with the #29 ranked offense and the #31 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2014 
The Bearcats again finished the regular season at 9-3 and were bowl eligible and again lost their post-season bowl game, this time to #56 ranked Virginia Tech by a score of (17-33).  Cincinnati played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS.  The Bearcats best regular season game was a victory (54-46) over #14 East Carolina and their worst loss was to #30 ranked Miami (FL) (34-55).  Overall, the Bearcats had the #29 ranked team with the #16 ranked offense and the #79 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2015 
Cincinnati finished the regular season overall at 7-5 (bowl eligible) and were defeated by #4 ranked San Diego State in their post-season bowl game by a score of (7-42) to finish the season at 7-6.  Cincinnati played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS.  The Bearcats best game again was their victory over #59 ranked East Carolina (19-16) and their worst loss was to #47 ranked Temple (26-34).  Cincinnati had the #72 ranked team in total production with the #45 ranked offense and the #94 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2016 
At the end of the regular season the Bearcats were 4-8 (and were bowl ineligible) playing against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, which means that their current strength of schedule was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league's" average SOS.  The Bearcats best win was over currently ranked #53 Miami (OH) (27-20) and their worst loss was to currently ranked #112 Connecticut by a score of (9-20).  Cincinnati at the time of Tuberville's resignation had the #95 ranked team in total production with the #120 ranked offense and the #59 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

 

2016 NCAA Head Football Head Coaching Changes 

Indiana and Kevin Wilson

Nevada and Brian Polian
San Jose State and Ron Caragher

Florida Atlantic Universit and Charlie Partridge

Oregon and Mark Helfrich

Texas and Charlie Strong
Georgia State and Trent Miles
Fresno State and Tim DeRuyter
Purdue and Darrell Hazell>
LSU and Les Miles
Florida International University and Ron Turner
Baylor and Art Briles

Jeff Brohm Leaving Western Kentucky

Jeff Brohm is leaving the head football coaching position at Western Kentucky University for the head football coaching position at Purdue.  So let's take a look at the Hilltoppers over the last three seasons with head coach Brohm at the helm.

Below is a chart of offense, defense and total production of the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers football program during Brohm's tenure as head football coach, along with who would be the lowest ranked team during this time period (in purple) and the average team (sky blue).   As you may notice, Western Kentucky has been above average under his tenure. All rankings in this blog come from my Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.  More details about the program under Brohm are after the chart below, including his contract at Western Kentucky are linked below.

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Jeff Brohm [2014-2016]

2014
The Hilltoppers finished the regular season at 6-6 and bowl eligible, and defeated #59 ranked Central Michigan by a score of (49-48).  Western Kentucky played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS.  The Hilltoppers best regular season game was a victory (36-27) over #58 Navy and their worst loss was to #107 ranked Florida Atlantic by a score of (38-45).  Overall, the Hilltoppers had the #48 ranked team with the #7 ranked offense and the #122 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2015 Western Kentucky finished the regular season overall at 11-2 (bowl eligible) and again won their bowl game, this time over #18 ranked USF by a score of (45-35) to finish the season at 12-2.  Western Kentucky played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS.  The Hilltoppers best game again was their victory over #19 ranked Louisiana Tech (41-38) and their worst loss was to #92 ranked Indiana (35-38).  Western Kentucky had the #14 ranked team in total production with the #1 ranked offense and the #97 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2016 At the end of the regular season the Hilltoppers were 10-3 (and were bowl eligible), while playing against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS.  The Hilltoppers best regular season win was over #24 ranked Louisiana Tech (58-44) and their worst loss was to #62 ranked Vanderbilt by a score of (30-31).  At the time of Brohm's departure, Western Kentucky had the #12 ranked team in total production with the #7 ranked offense and the #52 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

Temple Head Football Coach Matt Rhule Leaves for Baylor

Earlier this week, head football coach Matt Rhule left Temple after nearly four seasons at the helm of the Temple Owls.  Here is a look at the Temple football program since 2008 (the first year that I have complete data).  This time period only covers the last three seasons of head football coach Al Golden (2008-2010), Steve Addazio (2011-2012), and Matt Rhule (2013-2016*).  After the figure below is a more detailed look at the Temple Owls football program during head coach Rhule's tenure based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.  (The vertical school color bars represent seasons where head coaches changed).

Matt Rhule [2013-2016]

2013

Temple finished the regular season at 2-10, and were bowl ineligible.  The Owls played against a “average” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning that the Owls SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation from the "leagues" average SOS.  Temple's best regular season victory was against #87 ranked Army (33-14) and their worst loss was to FCS Fordham (29-30).  Temple was the #89 ranked team overall, with the #76 ranked offense and the #101 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

 

2014

Temple finished the regular season at 6-6, and were bowl eligible (but did not get a post-season bowl invitation), while playing against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  Temple's best regular season victory was against #14 ranked East Carolina (20-10) and their worst loss was to #61 ranked Penn State (13-30).  Temple was the #72 ranked team overall, with the #113 ranked offense and the #5 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

 

2015 [American Athletic Conference runner-up]

Temple dramatically improved this season to finish the regular season at 10-2 and played in the American Athletic Conference championship where they were defeated by the #9 ranked Houston Cougars by a score of (13-24).  Temple went on to play a post-season bowl game against #21 ranked Toledo, where they again lost by a score of (17-32) to finish overall at 10-4.  Temple played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS) up to this point in the season.  Temple's best regular season win was against #46 ranked Memphis by a score of (31-12) and their worst regular season loss was to #27 ranked Notre Dame by a score of (20-24).  Temple was the #47 ranked team overall, with the #72 ranked offense and the #22 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

 

2016 [American Athletic Conference Champion]

The Owls finished the regular season 9-3 and defeated #36 ranked Navy in the American Athletic Conference championship game.  After this game, head coach Rhule departed for Baylor.  Temple has played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS) up to this point in the season.  Temple's best regular season win was against currently ranked #27 South Florida by a score of (46-30) and their worst regular season loss was to #44 ranked Memphis by a score of (27-34).  Temple is currently the #10 ranked team overall, with the #20 ranked offense and the #12 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

Kevin Wilson Resigns at Indiana

Kevin Wilson resigned as the head football coach at Indiana University recently.

Below is a chart of offense, defense and total production of the Indiana University Hoosiers football program during Wilson's tenure as head football coach, along with who would be the lowest ranked team during this time period (in purple) and the average team (sky blue).   As you may notice, Indiana has been below average under Wilson's tenure. All rankings in this blog come from my Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.  More details about the program under Wilson are after the chart below, including his original contract are linked below.  For comparison purposes, here is Bill Lynch's contract as head football coach at Indiana.

Kevin Wilson (2011 - 2016)

2011
At the end of Wilson's first season as head football coach the Hoosiers finished the regular season at 1-11 and were bowl ineligible playing against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS.  The Hoosiers only regular season victory was over FCS South Carolina State, their worst loss was to #108 ranked Ball State (20-27).  Overall, Indiana had the #107 ranked team with the #97 ranked offense and the #107 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2012
Indiana finished the regular season overall at 4-8 and were again bowl ineligible while playing against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS.  The Hoosiers best game was their victory over #82 ranked Iowa (24-21) and their worst loss (39-41) was again to #76 ranked Ball State.  Indiana had the #103 ranked team in total production with the #78 ranked offense and the #111 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2013
At the end of the regular season the Hoosiers were 5-7 (and bowl ineligible) playing against a "tougher" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, which means that their current strength of schedule was one standard deviation below the "league's" average SOS.  The Hoosiers best win was over #17 ranked Bowling Green (42-10) and their worst loss was to #71 ranked Minnesota by a score of (39-42).  Indiana had the #77 ranked team in total production with the #27 ranked offense and the #119 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2014 
The Hoosiers finished the regular season at 4-8 and were bowl ineligible playing against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS.  The Hoosiers best regular season game was a victory (31-27) over #27 Missouri, their worst loss was to #89 ranked Bowling Green (31-37).  Overall, the Hoosiers had the #94 ranked team with the #88 ranked offense and the #888 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2015 
Indiana finished the regular season overall at 6-6 and becoming bowl eligible, and were defeated by #75 ranked Duke in their post-season bowl game.  Indiana played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS.  The Hoosiers best game was their victory over #14 ranked Western Kentucky (38-35) and their worst loss was to #102 ranked Rutgers.  Indiana had the #92 ranked team in total production with the #32 ranked offense and the #121 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2016 
Wilson received a contract extension after the 2015 season, but was unable to make it through one full season at Indiana.  At the end of the regular season the Hoosiers were 6-6 (and for the second year in a row were bowl eligible) playing against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, which means that their current strength of schedule was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league's" average SOS.  The Hoosiers best win was over currently ranked #77 Michigan State (24-21) and their worst loss was to currently ranked #81 Wake Forest by a score of (28-33).  Indiana at the time of Wilson's departure had the #63 ranked team in total production with the #92 ranked offense and the #33 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

 

2016 NCAA Head Football Head Coaching Changes 

Nevada and Brian Polian
San Jose State and Ron Caragher

Florida Atlantic Universit and Charlie Partridge

Oregon and Mark Helfrich

Texas and Charlie Strong
Georgia State and Trent Miles
Fresno State and Tim DeRuyter
Purdue and Darrell Hazell>
LSU and Les Miles
Florida International University and Ron Turner
Baylor and Art Briles 

2016 NCAA FBS Top 25 Ranking for Week 14

Below is the list of the Top 25 teams using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided at www.cfbstats.com.  According to the Complex Invasion College Football production model. The University of Alabama Crimson Tide is again the number one team in terms of the most productive team in the FBS!  Links to the previous weeks rankings at the bottom.

Rank	Team
1	Alabama
2	Washington
3	Ohio State
4	Michigan
5	Clemson
6	Western Michigan
7	LSU
8	Auburn
9	Louisville
10	Temple
11	San Diego State
12	Western Kentucky
13	Penn State
14	Colorado
15	Appalachian State
16	Oklahoma
17	Miami (Florida)
18	Boise State
19	Toledo
20	Army
21	Wisconsin
22	Houston
23	Old Dominion
24	USC
25	West Virginia

Previous 2016 Top 25 Rankings
2016 Top 25 for Week #13
2016 Top 25 for Week #12
2016 Top 25 for Week #11
2016 Top 25 for Week #10
2016 Top 25 for Week #9
2016 Top 25 for Week #8
2016 Top 25 for Week #7
2016 Top 25 for Week #6
2016 Top 25 for Week #5
2016 Top 25 for Week #4
2016 Top 25 for Week #3
2016 Top 25 for Week #2

Brian Polian Out at Nevada

Brian Polian is out as head football coach at the University of Nevada-Reno. During Polian's tenure at Nevada the football team was 23-27 and had two post-season bowl appearances.  Here a look at the Wolfpack under Polian's tenure as head football coach.

Below is a chart of offense, defense and total production of the University of Nevada Wolfpack football program during Polain's tenure as head football coach, along with who would be the lowest ranked team during this time period (in purple) and the average team (sky blue).   As you may notice, Nevada has been below average under Polian's tenure. All rankings in this blog come from my Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.  More details about the program under Polian are after the chart below, including his contract linked below.  For comparison purposes, here is Chris Ault's contract.

Brian Polian (2013 - 2016)

2013
In Polian's first season as head football coach the Wolfpack, Nevada finished the regular season at 4-8 and were bowl ineligible, playing against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that FAU's SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation the "league" average SOS.  The Wolfpack best regular season game was a victory (38-16) over #72 San Jose State, their worst loss was to #84 ranked San Diego State (44-51).  Overall, the Wolfpack had the #100 ranked team with the #71 ranked offense and the #111 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2014 
In Polain's second season as head football coach the Wolfpack finished the regular season at 7-5 and were bowl eligible.  They lost their post-season bowl to the #57 ranked Louisiana Lafayette Rajun Cajuns by a score of (3-16). The Wolfpack played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS.  The Wolfpack best regular season game was a (42-35) victory over #21 BYU, their worst loss was to #108 ranked Fresno State (20-40).  Overall, Nevada had the #70 ranked team with the #67 ranked offense and the #87 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2015 
Nevada finished the regular season overall at 6-6 and were bowl eligible defeating #73 ranked Colorado State (28-23) in their post-season bowl game to finish with a winning record of 7-6.   The Wolfpack played against an "easier" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that their SOS was between one and two standard deviations above the "league" average SOS.  The Wolfpack best game was their victory over #60 ranked San Jose State by a score of (37-34) and their worst loss by a score of (21-35) was to #99 Wyoming.  Nevada had the #67 ranked team in total production with the #71 ranked offense and the #61 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2016 
In what ended up as Polian's final season as the head football coach, the Wolfpack were 5-7 (and bowl ineligible) playing against an "much easier" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that Nevada played against a SOS that was greater than two standard deviations higher than the average FBS SOS.  The Wolfpack best win was over currently ranked #73 UNLV (45-10) and their worst loss (14-24) was to currently ranked #126 Purdue.  Nevada had the #98 ranked team in total production with the #90 ranked offense and the #84 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2016 NCAA Head Football Head Coaching Changes
San Jose State and Ron Caragher
Oregon and Mark Helfrich
Texas and Charlie Strong
Georgia State and Trent Miles
Fresno State and Tim DeRuyter
Purdue and Darrell Hazell
LSU and Les Miles
Florida International University and Ron Turner
Baylor and Art Briles

Ron Caragher Out at San Jose State

The San Jose State Spartans have fired head football coach Ron Caragher after four seasons at the helm of the football program.

Below is a chart of offense, defense and total production of the San Jose State University Spartans football program during Caragher's tenure as head football coach, along with who would be the lowest ranked team during this time period (in purple) and the average team (sky blue).   As you may notice, SJSU has been below average under Caragher's tenure. All rankings in this blog come from my Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.  More details about the program under Caragher are after the chart below, including his contract linked below.

Ron Caragher (2013-2016)

2013
In Caragher's first season as head football coach the Spartans, San Jose State finished the regular season at 6-6 and were bowl eligible, but did not receive a bowl bid.  San Jose State played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that FAU's SOS was between one and two standard deviations above the "league" average SOS.  The Spartans best regular season game was a victory (34-27) over #37 Colorado State, their worst loss was to #100 ranked Nevada (16-38).  Overall, the Spartans had the #72 ranked team with the #45 ranked offense and the #103 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2014 
In Caragher's second season as head football coach the Spartans finished the regular season at 3-9 and were bowl ineligible playing against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS.  The Spartans best regular season game was a victory (27-20) over #109 Wyoming, their worst loss was to #112 ranked Hawai'i (0-13).  Overall, the Spartans had the #104 ranked team with the #121 ranked offense and the #39 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2015 
SJSU finished the regular season overall at 6-6 and were bowl eligible, losing to #53 ranked Georgia State (27-16), while playing against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS.  The Spartans best game was their victory over #37 ranked Air Force (37-16) and their worst loss (21-35) was to #120 Oregon State.  San Jose State had the #60 ranked team in total production with the #69 ranked offense and the #51 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2016 
At the end of the regular season the Spartans were 4-8 (and bowl ineligible) playing against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS.  The Spartans best win was over currently ranked #73 UNLV (30-24) and their worst loss (17-34) was to currently ranked #111 Hawai'i.  San Jose State had the #110 ranked team in total production with the #103 ranked offense and the #111 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.
 
2016 NCAA Head Football Head Coaching Changes
Florida Atlantic and Charlie Partridge
Oregon and Mark Helfrich

Texas and Charlie Strong
Georgia State and Trent Miles
Fresno State and Tim DeRuyter
Purdue and Darrell Hazell
LSU and Les Miles
Florida International University and Ron Turner
Baylor and Art Briles