In today's Liberty Bowl we have the Iowa State Cyclones of the Big 12 Conference facing the Tulsa Golden Hurricane of Conference USA. Here is how each team looks using the NCAA FBS Production Model.
Iowa State is currently 6-6 playing against an average strength of schedule. Iowa State's most impressive game was a victory over currently ranked #38 Tulsa (who they are playing today), and their least impressive game was a loss to currently ranked #67 West Virginia. Iowa State is currently ranked as the #69 most productive team in FBS with the #73 most productive offense and the #67 most productive defense.
Tulsa is currently 10-3 playing an easier strength of schedule as compared to the average for the "league". Tulsa's best performance was a win over currently ranked #8 Fresno State and Tulsa's worst performance was a loss to currently ranked #96 Arkansas. Tulsa is currently ranked as the #38 most productive team with the #22 ranked offense and the #56 ranked defense.
Given that Tulsa is more productive than Iowa State, the model would "predict" that Tulsa will win the Liberty Bowl.