The Alamo Bowl has the Oregon State University Beavers of the PAC 12 Conference facing the University of Texas Longhorns of the Big 12 Conference. Here is how each team looks using the NCAA FBS Production Model.
Oregon State finished the regular season at 9-3 against a tougher than average strength of schedule. Thus Oregon State's strength of schedule was more than one standard deviation from the mean strength of schedule for the rest of the "league". OSU's most impressive game was a 27-20 victory over currently ranked #21 UCLA and their worst performance was a 17-20 loss to currently ranked #52 Washington. Oregon State is currently ranked as the #19 most productive team in the nation, with the #25 ranked offense and the #28 ranked defense.
The Texas Longhorns finished the regular season at 8-4 playing against an average strength of schedule. The Longhorns best win (win over highest ranked team in the NCAA FBS Production Model) was 41-36 victory over currently ranked #49 Oklahoma State University and their worst game (loss to lowest ranked team they played this year) was a 45-48 loss to currently ranked #67 West Virginia. Texas is currently the #55 most productive team in the football bowl subdivision with the #51 most productive offense and the #64 most productive defense.
Given that Oregon State is more productive than Texas, the model "predicts" that Oregon State will be the winner of today's Alamo Bowl.
No comments:
Post a Comment