Thursday, December 27, 2012

Belk Bowl 2012

This year's Belk Bowl pits the Cincinnati Bearcats of the Big East Conference against the Duke Blue Devils of the Atlantic Coast Conference.  Here's a preview from the NCAA FBS Production Model.

Cincinnati is currently 9-3 playing against an average (barely) strength of schedule. The Bearcats most impressive game this season was a 34-10 victory over currently #30 ranked Pittsburgh, and their least impressive game was a 23-29 loss to currently ranked #57 Toledo.  Cincinnati is currently the #11 team in overall productivity, with the #29 ranked offense and the #12 ranked defense.

Duke is currently 6-6 playing against an average strength of schedule.  The Blue Devils most impressive game was a 33-30 victory over North Carolina, while their other five victories all come against teams currently ranked in the bottom quartile of the NCAA FBS Production rankings.  Duke's less impressive game was a loss to currently ranked #74 Miami of Florida.  Duke is currently the #91 ranked team in terms of productivity using the NCAA FBS Production model, with the #83 ranked offense and the #98 ranked defense.

This game should be a rout for Cincinnati, given that Duke may be the worst team to be bowl eligible (in terms of productivity).  The model predicts that Cincinnati will be victorious in the Belk Bowl today.