Monday, December 31, 2012

Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl 2012

The Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl pits the Arizona State University Sun Devils of the Pacific 12 Conference against the Navy Midshipmen (currently an independent school).  Here's some information using the NCAA FBS Production Model.

Arizona State is currently 7-5 playing against an average strength of schedule as compared to the rest of the "league".  Arizona State's best win was against in-state rival Arizona and their worst loss was to Missouri.  Arizona is currently the #31 most productive team in the FBS, with the #32 offense and the #31 defense.

Navy finished the regular season with a 17-13 victory over rival Army and a record of 8-4.  Navy's best game was a victory over #80 East Carolina.  All of Navy's victories have been over team currently ranked in the bottom quartile of the NCAA FBS production model.  Navy worst loss was to currently ranked #54 Troy.  Navy is currently ranked #53 in terms of overall productivity and is currently ranked #79 in terms of offense and #35 in terms of defense.

Given ASU's superior productivity, the model "predicts" that Arizona State will be victorious in the Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl today.

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