NCAA FBS Top 25 Production Week 9

The latest model is now out and we have a new #1 in the NCAA FBS production ranking - the Houston Cougars. This is due primarily to their outstanding offensive production over the season. Oregon has jumped to #2 and Alabama has dropped back to #3. Remember that Alabama did not play last weekend, so this is not a surprise given that other teams who have positive performance will rise relative to teams that do not play.

Here is the top 25, with the team's BCS ranking if applicable.

Rank		School	BCS
1		Houston	(13)
2		Oregon	(8)
3		Alabama	(2)
4		Oklahoma State	(3)
5		LSU	(1)
6		Wisconsin	(20)
7		Oklahoma	(6)
8		Stanford	(4)
9		Boise State	(5)
10		West Virginia	(24)
11		Cincinnati	()
12		Michigan	(15)
13		Arizona State	(19)
14		Georgia Tech	(23)
15		South Carolina	(9)
16		Virginia Tech	(12)
17		Florida State	(-)
18		TCU	(-)
19		Toledo	(-)
20		Clemson	(11)
21		North Carolina	(-)
22		Illinois	(-)
23		Southern Mississippi	(25)
24		Michigan State	(17)
25		Mississippi State	(-)

Week 8 NCAA FBS Top 25 Production Ranking
Week 7 NCAA FBS Top 25 Production Ranking
Week 6 NCAA FBS Top 25 Production Ranking
Week 5 NCAA FBS Top 25 Production Ranking
Week 4 NCAA FBS Top 25 Production Ranking
Week 3 NCAA FBS Top 25 Production Ranking

Should One Play Effect an Entire Season?

On Monday I calculated the latest Top 25 NCAA FBS Production Model ranking and it has Wisconsin as the 2nd most productive team ("offense" and "defense") in the nation - as of last week. In today's environment this may seem strange as a loss propels teams down the rankings in college football. Yet here is a very clear example of how one event makes a difference in the final result - Michigan State won and Wisconsin lost.

The model that I am using though is trying to capture all the plays during the season to determine how productive teams are relative to the other 119 teams in the NCAA football bowl subdivision, and while this is a large event, it gets mingled with the other 446 plays by Wisconsin's defense and the other 491 plays by Michigan State's offense.

My question is: should one play effect an entire season? I am not sure that this is all that efficient in terms of measuring productivity, and hence believe that this one play over-emphasizes the measure of each teams performance on the field.

For those interested - here is the play and the resulting decision - which I agree was the correct call. OK, it is fairly dramatic.

NCAA FBS Top 25 Production Week 8

The NCAA FBS production model is done and the top team in FBS football has remained unchanged - Alabama. LSU has made a significant jump in the standings to #3.

What's up with Wisconsin? Last weekend Wisconsin lost to Michigan State and dropped from #6 in the BCS poll to #15 - effectively eliminating the Badgers from the national championship discussion. Why? Because of a "lucky" play at the end of the game. Think about this - of the over 400 plays by Wisconsin's opponents so far, one play - a "Hail Mary" significantly discounts all of Wisconsin's previous performance. Does that seem an efficient way of determining a team's performance? In other words, imagine that you were primarily evaluated by your performance on the worst day that you have on the job. Yet, to me, that is what we have in the case of Wisconsin (and other schools that are evaluated by these fluke results). Now, don't get me wrong, Michigan State is a very productive team - the model has them as the 11th ranked overall productive team.

Here is the latest rankings with the current BCS standings in parenthesis after the school's name.

	2011 Weights		BCS
Rank		School
1		Alabama	(2)
2		Wisconsin	(15)
3		LSU	(1)
4		Georgia Tech	(-)
5		Cincinnati	(-)
6		West Virginia	(25)
7		Michigan	(18)
8		Clemson	(5)
9		Illinois	(-)
10		Virginia Tech	(12)
11		Michigan State	(11)
12		South Carolina	(13)
13		South Florida	(-)
14		Florida State	(-)
15		Arkansas	(-)
16		Houston	(17)
17		North Carolina	(-)
18		Iowa	(-)
19		Penn State	(19)
20		Stanford	(6)
21		Oregon	(7)
22		Nebraska	(14)
23		Georgia	(22)
24		Notre Dame	(-)
25		Mississippi State	(-)

Week 7 NCAA FBS Top 25 Production Ranking
Week 6 NCAA FBS Top 25 Production Ranking
Week 5 NCAA FBS Top 25 Production Ranking
Week 4 NCAA FBS Top 25 Production Ranking
Week 3 NCAA FBS Top 25 Production Ranking

Louisville Gives Head Coach Strong Contract Extension

Head football coach Charlie Strong received a new seven year contact, that extends his existing contract that ended in 2015, to now go through June 2018. As usual, that got me to thinking about how Louisville has fared under head coach Strong. Coach Strong started at the University of Louisville in 2009, so that is were I start as well with Louisville Cardinals.

In 2009, the Cardinals finished 4-8. In terms of their overall production, Louisville was the #102nd ranked team in total production, with their offense the 108th most productive team and their defense the 70th most productive team. Louisville's strength of schedule was a 52.08, which is a stronger than average schedule.

For the 2010 season Louisville finished 7-6 including their win over Southern Mississippi in the Beef O'Brady Bowl, which the NCAA FBS production model correctly predicted by the way. Louisville's final production ranking was #33 in the nation, with the #43 best productive offense and the #31 best defense in terms of production. Louisville's schedule strength is a 64.69, which is slightly weaker than an average schedule.
Note: the difference in rankings from the Beef O'Brady Bowl blog link and the information in this paragraph is that the blog was written and analyzed before the game and the ranking information is after all the bowl games last season.

To date the University of Louisville is 2-4, with wins over non-FBS Murray State and over currently #114 ranked Kentucky, and has played a strength of schedule to date of 71.67, which is a rather light schedule. According to the production model, Louisville is currently the #93rd most productive team overall, with the #115th most productive offense and the #21st most productive defense.

Tulane Head Coach Bob Toledo Resigns

Bob Toledo, the head football coach for the Tulane Green Wave has recently resigned. Coach Toledo started with Tulane in 2007, a year that I do not have all of the data to run the NCAA FBS production model. I do have the data starting with the 2008 season, and thus will look at the Green Wave since 2008. Let's take a look at the numbers.

In 2008 - Toledo's second year - the Green Wave were 2-10 (only wins were over Louisiana Lafayette and SMU), with a offensive production rank of #110 and defensive rank of #103, yielding an overall rank of #113 against a strength of schedule of 63.42, which is slightly easier than an average schedule.

In the following season (2009), Tulane finished 3-9 with wins over McNeese State, Army and UTEP. Fortunately Tulane had almost no where to go but up from there 2008 performance. Unfortunately the Green Wave did not move far. The finished the season as the #114th most productive offense, #116th most productive defense and the #115th most productive overall team. Remember this is out of 120 schools, so Tulane is rather an unproductive team. This is even more striking given their strength of schedule was a 68.83 for the season.

Last season (2010) the Green Wave finished 4-8. Tulane finished as the #83rd most productive offense, the #101st most productive defense and the #93 most productive team against a schedule strength of 68.00.

This season (up to last weekend) Tulane was 2-5. In terms of the production model, Tulane was the #65th most productive offense, the #88th most productive defense and the #76th most productive team overall. Given a strength of schedule of 91.00, Tulane's increase in productivity should be taken with a grain of salt - so to speak.

NCAA Task Force and Bowl Egilibity

ESPN reports that the NCAA Division I Football Licensing Task Force will make a series of recommendations for football bowl eligibility. Among them are an APR of 930 out of 1000, and having all bowl games within a three week window so student athletes can minimize the amount of class time missed.

UCLA under Rick Neuheisel

The USAToday reports that the AD at UCLA said that head football coach Rick Neuheisel's status is "day-to-day". Not a ringing endorsement. Neuheisel has been under contract as the head football coach at UCLA since the 2008 season, so let's take a look at the UCLA Bruin's through the eyes of the NCAA FBS production model over the last few years.

In 2008 the UCLA Bruins finished 4-8 with wins over Tennessee, Stanford, Washington and Washington State. The team was ranked #109 in terms of offensive productivity, #75 in terms of defensive productivity and #101 in total production. Keep in mind that UCLA's strength of schedule (in terms of their opponents average total productivity rank) for the entire season was a 50.25, which is a fairly strong schedule. Also keep in mind that I repeatedly have found that strength of schedule is not statistically significant with respect to winning.

For the following season (2009), the Bruins finished 6-6 in the regular season (plus they won their bowl game against Temple) for a final season record of 7-6. The Bruins ranked as the #83 offensively productive team, the #40 defensively productive team and the #63 overall productive team. UCLA's strength of schedule (opponents average total productivity rank) was easier than in 2008 at 55.15.

In 2010 UCLA finished 4-8. UCLA had the #100 ranked productive offense; the #105 ranked productive defense and the #106 ranked overall productive team against an almost identical strength of schedule at 55.17.

This season UCLA is currently 3-3 with wins against San Jose State, Oregon State and Washington State. As of last weekend, UCLA is the #49th most productive offense, the #89th most productive defense and the #66th most productive team overall facing currently a strength of schedule of 52.30.

Here is UCLA's schedule for this season and their (current) PF (Points For), PA (Points Against), SOS (Strength of Schedule) and whether the game is home or away.

Date		Opponent		PF		PA		SOS		Venue
9/3/2011		Houston		34		38		3		Away
9/10/2011		San Jose St.		27		17		90		Home
9/17/2011		Texas		20		49		64		Home
9/24/2011		Oregon St.		27		19		100		Away
10/1/2011		Stanford		19		45		8		Away
10/8/2011		Washington St.		28		25		49		Home
10/20/2011		Arizona								Away
10/29/2011		California								Home
11/5/2011		Arizona St.								Home
11/12/2011		Utah								Away
11/19/2011		Colorado								Home
11/26/2011		Southern California								Away

NCAA FBS Top 25 Production Week 7

Below is the latest NCAA FBS top 25 in terms of the production model. Notice that Alabama is still the most productive team based on the strength of their defense from the production model estimates, Wisconsin is still the second most productive team based on their offense.

Also notice that Houston has climbed up four spots to #3 in the rankings due to having the most productive offense (as of last week) among all FBS teams. I know that some will discount Houston's performance, as they have not played as difficult a schedule, such as what is perceived in the SEC, but that is not the point of this model. The model is estimating (taking into control all eleven conferences and the four independent FBS schools) the offense, defense and thus total productivity of what has happened on the field. Given this perspective, Houston is a very productive team - given their superior offensive productivity in relation to the rest of the NCAA FBS teams. I want to be clear - I am neither defending nor condemning Houston, but rather using this team as an example of what this model is ultimately ranking.

So, here is the top 25 - using just the 2011 weight, and the teams BCS rank (as of week 8).

Rank		School	BCS
1		Alabama	(2)
2		Wisconsin	(6)
3		Houston	(19)
4		Oklahoma	(3)
5		Georgia Tech	(22)
6		Boise State	(5)
7		Oregon	(10)
8		Stanford	(8)
9		West Virginia	(15)
10		LSU	(1)
11		Oklahoma State	(4)
12		Michigan	(18)
13		Illinois	(23)
14		Cincinnati	(-)
15		South Carolina	(14)
16		Temple	(-)
17		Clemson	(7)
18		Baylor	(-)
19		Utah State	(-)
20		Northern Illinois	(-)
21		Ohio	(-)
22		Michigan State	(16)
23		Texas A&M	(17)
24		South Florida	(-)
25		Hawai'i	(-)

Week 6 NCAA FBS Top 25 Production Ranking
Week 5 NCAA FBS Top 25 Production Ranking
Week 4 NCAA FBS Top 25 Production Ranking
Week 3 NCAA FBS Top 25 Production Ranking

Arizona State - Oregon - 2011 Edition

Pac 12 fans know that Oregon hosts Arizona State. The NCAA FBS production model states that Oregon is currently a slightly better team than Arizona State, but not by much to really be able to give a definitive answer.

Oregon's strength of schedule (an average of current ranking) is equal to a 62.4 and Arizona State's strength of schedule (SOS) is equal to an 63.2, which is statistically the same. Given there is no real difference in their schedules to date, let's look at how the two schools have fared thus far this season as of October 7, 2011.

The University of Oregon is 4-1 so far this season and 2-0 in the Pacific 12 Conference. Oregon is the #17 most productive team overall through this past weekend, with their offense the #8 most productive and their defense the #40 most productive. Here is Oregon's schedule and results as of last weekend.

Opponent				PF		PA		SOS		Result
LSU		Neutral		27		40		6		L
Nevada		Home		69		20		60		W
Missouri St.		Home		56		7		121		W
Arizona		Away		56		31		101		W
California		Home		43		15		24		W
Arizona St.		Home
Colorado		Away
Washington St.		Home
Washington		Away
Stanford		Away
Southern California		Home
Oregon St.		Home

Arizona State University is 5-1 so far this season and 3-0 in the Pacific 12 Conference. ASU is the #25 most productive team overall through this past weekend, with their offense the #14 most productive and their defense the #49 most productive. Here is ASU's schedule and results as of last weekend.

Opponent				PF		PA		SOS		Result
UC Davis		Home		48		14		121		W
Missouri		Home		37		30		34		W
Illinois		Away		14		17		12		L
Southern California		Home		43		22		59		W
Oregon St.		Home		35		20		84		W
Utah		Away		35		14		69		W
Oregon		Away
Colorado		Home
UCLA		Away
Washington St.		Away
Arizona		Home
California		Home

Michigan vs. Michigan State - 2011 Edition

Big 10 fans have an interesting game this weekend, with Michigan State hosting Michigan. In this game we have the "immovable object" against the "irresistible force" with Michigan's #3 most productive offense facing Michigan State's #2 most productive defense. Who will win? Watch and find out, but the model would state that Michigan State is a slightly better (more productive) team than Michigan, but not by much to really be able to give a definitive answer. Each school has a similar non-conference schedule, with both playing Notre Dame and Michigan winning at the very end and Michigan State losing. Michigan's strength of schedule (an average of current ranking) is equal to a 74 and Michigan State's strength of schedule (SOS) is equal to an 80, thus Michigan has played a slightly stronger schedule. Both schools should have a much more challenging schedule over the next two months.

So, let's look at how the two schools have fared thus far this season as of October 7, 2011.

The University of Michigan is 6-0 so far this season and 2-0 in the Big Ten Conference. Michigan is the #14 most productive team overall through this past weekend, with their offense the #3 most productive and their defense the #55 most productive. Here is Michigan's schedule and results as of last weekend.

Opponent				PF		PA		SOS		Result
Western Mich.		Home		34		10		64		W
Notre Dame		Home		35		31		46		W
Eastern Mich.		Home		31		3		98		W
San Diego St.		Home		28		7		57		W
Minnesota		Home		58		0		114		W
Northwestern		Away		42		24		65		W
Michigan St.		Away
Purdue		Home
Iowa		Away
Illinois		Away
Nebraska		Home
Ohio St.		Home

Michigan State University is 4-1 so far this season and 1-0 in the Big Ten Conference. Michigan State is the 10th best productive team overall through this past weekend, and their offense is the #67 most productive (slightly below average) and their defense the #2 in terms of production (only behind Alabama).
Here is Michigan State's schedule for this season:

Opponent				PF		PA		SOS		Result
Youngstown St.		Home		28		6		121		W
Fla. Atlantic		Home		44		0		99		W
Notre Dame		Away		13		31		46		L
Central Mich.		Home		45		7		87		W
Ohio St.		Away		10		7		47		W
Michigan		Home
Wisconsin		Home
Nebraska		Away
Minnesota		Home
Iowa		Away
Indiana		Home
Northwestern		Away

PF = Points For (scored by the team); PA = Points Against (scored by their opponent); SOS = strength of schedule.

Who is the best NCAA FBS team in Florida?

At the end of the sixth week of the 2011 NCAA FBS season the University of Florida, Florida State University and Miami of Florida were all absent from the Associated Press Top 25 poll for the first time since December 6th 1982. (You might also notice that neither of those three teams were in any of the three top 25 production rankings). So that got me thinking - which NCAA FBS school in Florida is the most productive through the 6th week of the 2011 season?

For those who are reading this blog, you will notice that I have three different top 25 rankings. The reason is that the model I want to use (the one on the left in the link above which only takes into account the results from this season) still does not have enough variation in the data for it to be as accurate as I would like. As of the end of week 6 it has an explanatory power of over 85%, but the other two time periods are better - both over 90%. My hope is that as NCAA FBS teams are now playing primarily other NCAA FBS (and not FCS or Division II) schools that the model using only the 2011 data will become as accurate as the others, as it did last year. Since it currently is not, I have three top 25 ranks for now.

Even though the 2011 weights model has slightly lower explanatory power, I will use it for the rest of this post. So, using the data from only this season, here is how a variety of Florida based NCAA FBS schools are faring in terms of offensive productivity, defensive productivity and total productivity; ranked by total productivity.

The University of Central Florida is currently ranked as the 16th most productive NCAA FBS school, and the 77th most productive offense and 3rd most productive defense.

The University of South Florida is currently ranked as the 20th most productive NCAA FBS school, and the 29th most productive offense and 29th most productive defense.

Florida State University is currently ranked as the 26th most productive NCAA FBS school, and the 70th most productive offense and 7th most productive defense.

The University of Florida is currently ranked as the 32nd most productive NCAA FBS school, and the 51st most productive offense and 25th most productive defense.

Florida International University is currently ranked as the 41st most productive NCAA FBS school, and the 39th most productive offense and 44th most productive defense.

The University of Miami (Florida) is currently ranked as the 56th most productive NCAA FBS school, and the 40th most productive offense and 68th most productive defense.

Florida Atlantic University is currently ranked as the 99th most productive NCAA FBS school, and the 118th most productive offense and 38th most productive defense.

Arizona Under Mike Stoops

Head football coach Mike Stoops was fired by the University of Arizona.

Using my NCAA FBS production model, let's take a look at how Arizona has fared under head coach Stoops from 2008 to this season. (This is the time period in which I have the data from www.cfbstats.com to produce the NCAA FBS production model).

In 2008, Arizona won 7 regular season games (plus their bowl game against BYU), finished as the 19th ranked offense; and the 13th ranked defense and as the 12th overall ranked team in terms of production for that season.

In 2009, Arizona won 8 regular season games (and lost their bowl game against Nebraska), finished as the 56th ranked offense; and the 31st ranked defense and as the 42nd overall ranked team in terms of production for that season.

In 2010, Arizona won 8 regular season games (and lost to Oklahoma State in the Alamo Bowl), finished as the 31st ranked offense; and the 29th ranked defense and as the 27th overall ranked team in terms of production for that season.

This year Arizona is currently 1-5 overall (with their only win over Northern Arizona which is a non-FBS NCAA football team), and 0-4 in the Pac12. Arizona is currently the 44th ranked offense; and the 119th ranked defense (that's second to last) and as the 101st overall ranked team in terms of production.

Coupled with Arizona State who is currently ranked #18 in the AP poll and #20 in the USA Today coaches poll. Arizona State is 5-1 and 3-0 in the Pac12. Arizona State is currently the 14th ranked offense; and the 49th ranked defense and as the 25th overall ranked team in terms of production.

For this head coach Mike Stoops was terminated. Here is his contract if you are interested.

NCAA FBS Top 25 Production Week 6

We have a new #1 team - in terms of productivity, and it is Alabama. Notice that Wisconsin did not drop to far, and that Oklahoma significantly increased their rankings this week. This is in part due to how well they produced (both offensively and defensively) and in part due to how well other teams produced on both sides of the ball. Keep in mind that the rankings are in terms of total productivity as of last weekend. Next week, I am hoping to only give the model based on this years production data. Here are the top 25 for the three time periods (weights).

	2011 Weights			2010 Weights			2008-2010 Weights
Rank		School			School			School
1		Alabama		1	Alabama		1	West Virginia
2		Wisconsin		2	Wisconsin		2	Alabama
3		Stanford		3	Oklahoma		3	Houston
4		Oklahoma		4	LSU		4	Wisconsin
5		West Virginia		5	Stanford		5	Stanford
6		LSU		6	West Virginia		6	LSU
7		Houston		7	Houston		7	South Carolina
8		Georgia Tech		8	Penn State		8	Arizona State
9		Boise State		9	South Florida		9	Georgia Tech
10		Michigan State		10	South Carolina		10	Oklahoma
11		Cincinnati		11	Michigan State		11	Oregon
12		Illinois		12	Baylor		12	Baylor
13		South Carolina		13	Cincinnati		13	South Florida
14		Michigan		14	UCF		14	Michigan
15		Baylor		15	Georgia Tech		15	North Carolina
16		UCF		16	Illinois		16	Penn State
17		Oregon		17	Michigan		17	Illinois
18		Temple		18	Boise State		18	Boise State
19		Washington State		19	Arizona State		19	Toledo
20		South Florida		20	Oklahoma State		20	UCF
21		Oklahoma State		21	Rutgers		21	Georgia
22		Utah State		22	Georgia		22	Virginia Tech
23		SMU		23	Temple		23	Oklahoma State
24		California		24	Oregon		24	Cincinnati
25		Arizona State		25	Ohio		25	Michigan State

Week 5 NCAA FBS Top 25 Production Ranking
Week 4 NCAA FBS Top 25 Production Ranking
Week 3 NCAA FBS Top 25 Production Ranking

Mississippi and Head Coach Houston Nutt

USA Today reported that Mississippi football fans are not happy with their team's performance, and head football coach Houston Nutt is receiving (and to his credit taking) much of the blame. Given his salary of $2,500,000, Ole Miss fans may well be wondering what they are getting for all of those dollars. So let's take a look at how well Mississippi (Ole Miss) has done during Houston Nutt's four year tenure in terms of their productivity.

In 2008, Mississippi won 8 regular season games (plus their bowl game against Texas Tech), finished as the 29th ranked offense; and the 22nd ranked defense and as the 25th overall ranked team in terms of production for that season.

In 2009, Mississippi won 8 regular season games (plus their bowl game against Oklahoma State), finished as the 48th ranked offense; and the 18th ranked defense and as the 29th overall ranked team in just production for that season.

In 2010, Mississippi won 4 regular season games (no bowl game), finished as the 72nd ranked offense; and the 97th ranked defense and as the 87th overall ranked team in terms of production.

This year Mississippi is currently 2-3 overall (with wins over Southern Illinois, a non-FBS team, and Fresno St., which is currently ranked 85th in the nation in terms of their overall productivity), and 0-2 in the SEC. Ole Miss is currently the 105th ranked offense; and the 70th ranked defense and as the 96th overall ranked team in terms of production - all well below average. On top of that, it is not as if Ole Miss has had that tough a schedule to date. In fact, they have had one of the easiest schedules in the SEC so far. It will only get more difficult as Alabama, Arkansas, Auburn, LSU and Mississippi State are upcoming and not looking favorable for Mississippi.

NCAA FBS Top 25 Production Week 5

Here is the Top 25 NCAA FBS teams in terms of production through week #5. As you may notice, Wisconsin still is the most productive NCAA FBS school in the nation. Otherwise, there has been a great deal of change. For example, Oklahoma and Boise State are now ranked in the top 25 production model, where last week they were not in the top 25 production ranking. Refering to the 2011 only weights, some schools have moved up a small amount even though they lost (Baylor) and some schools have dropped even though they won (LSU). Again, it is rather early to say whether the 2011 only weighted model is accurate or not. I will talk more about this when the BCS rankings come out in a few weeks. Either way, here are the results for each of the three models.

	2011 Weights			2010 Weights			2008-2010 Weights
Rank		School			School			School
1		Wisconsin		1	Wisconsin		1	Wisconsin
2		Georgia Tech		2	Alabama		2	West Virginia
3		Michigan		3	Oklahoma		3	South Florida
4		Stanford		4	Texas		4	Alabama
5		Houston		5	Michigan		5	Stanford
6		Cincinnati		6	South Florida		6	Michigan
7		Baylor		7	LSU		7	Georgia Tech
8		Alabama		8	West Virginia		8	Arizona State
9		West Virginia		9	Stanford		9	Virginia Tech
10		Texas Tech		10	Michigan State		10	North Carolina
11		Washington State		11	Cincinnati		11	LSU
12		Oklahoma		12	Penn State		12	Houston
13		Michigan State		13	UCF		13	Cincinnati
14		Texas		14	Georgia Tech		14	Baylor
15		South Florida		15	Ohio		15	Michigan State
16		Oregon		16	Baylor		16	Oregon
17		Missouri		17	Illinois		17	Texas
18		Oklahoma State		18	Virginia Tech		18	Oklahoma
19		Illinois		19	Arizona State		19	Penn State
20		Boise State		20	Houston		20	Texas Tech
21		Florida		21	Oklahoma State		21	Florida
22		Oklahoma State		22	Southern Mississippi		22	Ohio
23		Air Force		23	Texas Tech		23	Illinois
24		UCF		24	Boise State		24	SMU
25		LSU		25	Wake Forest		25	Boise State

Week 4 NCAA FBS Top 25 Production Ranking
Week 3 NCAA FBS Top 25 Production Ranking