Monday, October 24, 2011

NCAA FBS Top 25 Production Week 8

The NCAA FBS production model is done and the top team in FBS football has remained unchanged - Alabama. LSU has made a significant jump in the standings to #3.

What's up with Wisconsin? Last weekend Wisconsin lost to Michigan State and dropped from #6 in the BCS poll to #15 - effectively eliminating the Badgers from the national championship discussion. Why? Because of a "lucky" play at the end of the game. Think about this - of the over 400 plays by Wisconsin's opponents so far, one play - a "Hail Mary" significantly discounts all of Wisconsin's previous performance. Does that seem an efficient way of determining a team's performance? In other words, imagine that you were primarily evaluated by your performance on the worst day that you have on the job. Yet, to me, that is what we have in the case of Wisconsin (and other schools that are evaluated by these fluke results). Now, don't get me wrong, Michigan State is a very productive team - the model has them as the 11th ranked overall productive team.

Here is the latest rankings with the current BCS standings in parenthesis after the school's name.



2011 Weights BCS
Rank
School
1
Alabama (2)
2
Wisconsin (15)
3
LSU (1)
4
Georgia Tech (-)
5
Cincinnati (-)
6
West Virginia (25)
7
Michigan (18)
8
Clemson (5)
9
Illinois (-)
10
Virginia Tech (12)
11
Michigan State (11)
12
South Carolina (13)
13
South Florida (-)
14
Florida State (-)
15
Arkansas (-)
16
Houston (17)
17
North Carolina (-)
18
Iowa (-)
19
Penn State (19)
20
Stanford (6)
21
Oregon (7)
22
Nebraska (14)
23
Georgia (22)
24
Notre Dame (-)
25
Mississippi State (-)


Week 7 NCAA FBS Top 25 Production Ranking
Week 6 NCAA FBS Top 25 Production Ranking
Week 5 NCAA FBS Top 25 Production Ranking
Week 4 NCAA FBS Top 25 Production Ranking
Week 3 NCAA FBS Top 25 Production Ranking

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