Friday, October 21, 2011

Tulane Head Coach Bob Toledo Resigns

Bob Toledo, the head football coach for the Tulane Green Wave has recently resigned. Coach Toledo started with Tulane in 2007, a year that I do not have all of the data to run the NCAA FBS production model. I do have the data starting with the 2008 season, and thus will look at the Green Wave since 2008. Let's take a look at the numbers.

In 2008 - Toledo's second year - the Green Wave were 2-10 (only wins were over Louisiana Lafayette and SMU), with a offensive production rank of #110 and defensive rank of #103, yielding an overall rank of #113 against a strength of schedule of 63.42, which is slightly easier than an average schedule.

In the following season (2009), Tulane finished 3-9 with wins over McNeese State, Army and UTEP. Fortunately Tulane had almost no where to go but up from there 2008 performance. Unfortunately the Green Wave did not move far. The finished the season as the #114th most productive offense, #116th most productive defense and the #115th most productive overall team. Remember this is out of 120 schools, so Tulane is rather an unproductive team. This is even more striking given their strength of schedule was a 68.83 for the season.

Last season (2010) the Green Wave finished 4-8. Tulane finished as the #83rd most productive offense, the #101st most productive defense and the #93 most productive team against a schedule strength of 68.00.

This season (up to last weekend) Tulane was 2-5. In terms of the production model, Tulane was the #65th most productive offense, the #88th most productive defense and the #76th most productive team overall. Given a strength of schedule of 91.00, Tulane's increase in productivity should be taken with a grain of salt - so to speak.

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