Monday, October 17, 2011

NCAA FBS Top 25 Production Week 7

Below is the latest NCAA FBS top 25 in terms of the production model. Notice that Alabama is still the most productive team based on the strength of their defense from the production model estimates, Wisconsin is still the second most productive team based on their offense.

Also notice that Houston has climbed up four spots to #3 in the rankings due to having the most productive offense (as of last week) among all FBS teams. I know that some will discount Houston's performance, as they have not played as difficult a schedule, such as what is perceived in the SEC, but that is not the point of this model. The model is estimating (taking into control all eleven conferences and the four independent FBS schools) the offense, defense and thus total productivity of what has happened on the field. Given this perspective, Houston is a very productive team - given their superior offensive productivity in relation to the rest of the NCAA FBS teams. I want to be clear - I am neither defending nor condemning Houston, but rather using this team as an example of what this model is ultimately ranking.

So, here is the top 25 - using just the 2011 weight, and the teams BCS rank (as of week 8).

Rank
School BCS
1
Alabama (2)
2
Wisconsin (6)
3
Houston (19)
4
Oklahoma (3)
5
Georgia Tech (22)
6
Boise State (5)
7
Oregon (10)
8
Stanford (8)
9
West Virginia (15)
10
LSU (1)
11
Oklahoma State (4)
12
Michigan (18)
13
Illinois (23)
14
Cincinnati (-)
15
South Carolina (14)
16
Temple (-)
17
Clemson (7)
18
Baylor (-)
19
Utah State (-)
20
Northern Illinois (-)
21
Ohio (-)
22
Michigan State (16)
23
Texas A&M (17)
24
South Florida (-)
25
Hawai'i (-)


Week 6 NCAA FBS Top 25 Production Ranking
Week 5 NCAA FBS Top 25 Production Ranking
Week 4 NCAA FBS Top 25 Production Ranking
Week 3 NCAA FBS Top 25 Production Ranking