The USAToday reports that the AD at UCLA said that head football coach Rick Neuheisel's status is "day-to-day". Not a ringing endorsement. Neuheisel has been under contract as the head football coach at UCLA since the 2008 season, so let's take a look at the UCLA Bruin's through the eyes of the NCAA FBS production model over the last few years.
In 2008 the UCLA Bruins finished 4-8 with wins over Tennessee, Stanford, Washington and Washington State. The team was ranked #109 in terms of offensive productivity, #75 in terms of defensive productivity and #101 in total production. Keep in mind that UCLA's strength of schedule (in terms of their opponents average total productivity rank) for the entire season was a 50.25, which is a fairly strong schedule. Also keep in mind that I repeatedly have found that strength of schedule is not statistically significant with respect to winning.
For the following season (2009), the Bruins finished 6-6 in the regular season (plus they won their bowl game against Temple) for a final season record of 7-6. The Bruins ranked as the #83 offensively productive team, the #40 defensively productive team and the #63 overall productive team. UCLA's strength of schedule (opponents average total productivity rank) was easier than in 2008 at 55.15.
In 2010 UCLA finished 4-8. UCLA had the #100 ranked productive offense; the #105 ranked productive defense and the #106 ranked overall productive team against an almost identical strength of schedule at 55.17.
This season UCLA is currently 3-3 with wins against San Jose State, Oregon State and Washington State. As of last weekend, UCLA is the #49th most productive offense, the #89th most productive defense and the #66th most productive team overall facing currently a strength of schedule of 52.30.
Here is UCLA's schedule for this season and their (current) PF (Points For), PA (Points Against), SOS (Strength of Schedule) and whether the game is home or away.
In 2008 the UCLA Bruins finished 4-8 with wins over Tennessee, Stanford, Washington and Washington State. The team was ranked #109 in terms of offensive productivity, #75 in terms of defensive productivity and #101 in total production. Keep in mind that UCLA's strength of schedule (in terms of their opponents average total productivity rank) for the entire season was a 50.25, which is a fairly strong schedule. Also keep in mind that I repeatedly have found that strength of schedule is not statistically significant with respect to winning.
For the following season (2009), the Bruins finished 6-6 in the regular season (plus they won their bowl game against Temple) for a final season record of 7-6. The Bruins ranked as the #83 offensively productive team, the #40 defensively productive team and the #63 overall productive team. UCLA's strength of schedule (opponents average total productivity rank) was easier than in 2008 at 55.15.
In 2010 UCLA finished 4-8. UCLA had the #100 ranked productive offense; the #105 ranked productive defense and the #106 ranked overall productive team against an almost identical strength of schedule at 55.17.
This season UCLA is currently 3-3 with wins against San Jose State, Oregon State and Washington State. As of last weekend, UCLA is the #49th most productive offense, the #89th most productive defense and the #66th most productive team overall facing currently a strength of schedule of 52.30.
Here is UCLA's schedule for this season and their (current) PF (Points For), PA (Points Against), SOS (Strength of Schedule) and whether the game is home or away.
| Date | Opponent | PF | PA | SOS | Venue | |||||
| 9/3/2011 | Houston | 34 | 38 | 3 | Away | |||||
| 9/10/2011 | San Jose St. | 27 | 17 | 90 | Home | |||||
| 9/17/2011 | Texas | 20 | 49 | 64 | Home | |||||
| 9/24/2011 | Oregon St. | 27 | 19 | 100 | Away | |||||
| 10/1/2011 | Stanford | 19 | 45 | 8 | Away | |||||
| 10/8/2011 | Washington St. | 28 | 25 | 49 | Home | |||||
| 10/20/2011 | Arizona | Away | ||||||||
| 10/29/2011 | California | Home | ||||||||
| 11/5/2011 | Arizona St. | Home | ||||||||
| 11/12/2011 | Utah | Away | ||||||||
| 11/19/2011 | Colorado | Home | ||||||||
| 11/26/2011 | Southern California | Away |