Saturday, December 3, 2011

The SEC Football Championship Game

The #1 BCS team, the LSU Tigers will play the Georgia Bulldogs for the SEC championship today. Here's how they stack up using the NCAA FBS production model.

LSU is currently 12-0 against a strength of schedule at 67.42. The model has LSU as the #5 most productive team in the nation, with the #13 ranked offense and the #2 ranked defense.

On the other hand, Georgia is currently 10-2, with losses against Boise State and South Carolina and has played a strength of schedule equal to 69.42, which like LSU is slightly easier than the average strength of schedule. Georgia is currently the #11 most productive team in the nation overall with the #32 ranked offense and the #5 ranked defense.

This should be a really good game that I think will be a more defensive battle than many would assume. The model has LSU slightly better than Georgia, so from the model's vantage point we should see LSU as the winner of this game.

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