Friday, December 2, 2011

The PAC 12 Football Championship Game

The inaugural Pac 12 conference championship game pits UCLA against Oregon.

In 2011, the Bruins are (as of Nov. 26th 2011) 6-6 and currently are bowl eligible against a strength of schedule (SOS) equal to 54.08. UCLA has petitioned for a waiver to remain bowl eligible if they lose in the Pac 12 championship game tonight. In terms of production, UCLA is currently the #73 most productive team overall, with an offense that is #48 in terms of production and a defense that is #95 in relative productivity. (This is the same information found in my previous blog on Neuheisel's departure a few days ago).

Facing the Bruins will be the Oregon ducks. The Ducks are currently 10-2 against a SOS of 58.25. Oregon has the #4 most productive team overall, and the #5 most productive offense even with all of their injury problems with "star" players. The Ducks also have the #26th most productive defense.

Given Oregon's vastly superior productivity on the field to date, the model would pick that Oregon wins the first PAC 12 football conference championship game.