The Houston Cougars face Southern Mississippi in the Conference USA football championship game today. While this conference championship game will fly under the radar of many general college football fans, it is one that I plan on watching. Why? Let's take a look at the model's numbers.
Houston is currently 12-0 against a very weak schedule of 83.92. Houston is currently ranked as the most productive team in the nation (yes they are #1 in my model), behind a phenomenal offense - ranked #1 and the 27th best defense.
Southern Mississippi is currently 10-2 against a rather weak strength of schedule equal to 81.0.
Southern Mississippi is currently the 10th most productive team in the nation with the 20th ranked offense and the 15th ranked defense.
Given this Houston has the edge in this game, but it may be closer than what you think.